This is the 2023-24 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-18 | WSH/EDM | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 16.7 | 9:27 |
| 2018-19 | WSH | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | 8:09 |
| 2019-20 | STL | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 16.7 | 11:08 |
| 2020-21 | STL | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10.0 | 13:30 |
| 2021-22 | STL | 30 | 8 | 4 | 12 | +1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 38 | 21.1 | 11:33 |
| 2022-23 | STL | 56 | 2 | 8 | 10 | +10 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 43 | 4.7 | 10:17 |
| 2023-24 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 111 | 13 | 14 | 27 | +6 | 41 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 105 | 12.4 | 10:46 |
This Season So Far
The 2023-24 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
2 goals and 8 assists in 56 games — 10 points — at 10:17 a night. Plus-10, 43 shots at 4.7 per cent, one game-winner, 25 penalty minutes.
38.8 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five — the 1st percentile, and the lowest share of any St. Louis skater — across 546 minutes.
And his ice finished 23-14. The chance model expected 15.03-23.74.
That is a seventeen-goal swing in his favour on 546 minutes, and it is the single clearest illustration of what St. Louis was last season: a club that finished twenty-seventh in chance share and second in the league in finishing, scoring 180 five-on-five goals against an expectation of 154.1.
He started 41.9 per cent of his shifts in the attacking zone, the 18th percentile.
Nothing in this file should be read as a description of the player. A plus-10 out of a 1st-percentile chance share is a statement about a hundred and fifty-two bounces, not about a fourth-line winger.
The Finesse Game
43 shots at a median of 29 feet. Inside twenty feet: 12 shots on goal and one goal. From twenty to forty: 18 shots and one goal. Beyond forty: 11 shots and none.
Two goals on 43 shots, against a career 12.4 per cent across 105 shots. Neither number means anything: 105 career shots is not a shooting record.
59 tracked attempts, seven of them slap shots and eight tip-ins. 91.5 mph at the 55th percentile.
Thirteen goals in 111 career games. There is no offensive claim here and the club has never made one.
The Physical Game
5-9 and 191 pounds, with 1.60 miles a game at the 1st percentile on ten minutes a night, at a top speed of 22.2 mph at the 46th and 1.0 bursts above twenty a game at the 53rd.
The mileage is ice time; the speed measures are ordinary. There is nothing unusual in the tracking line.
25 penalty minutes in 56 games and 41 in 111 career games — a high rate for ten minutes a night, from a 5-9 winger who plays a great deal bigger than that.
He forechecks into contact and finishes checks on defencemen forty pounds heavier, which is the entire case for a fourth-line winger of his size and the reason he has kept getting called up for six years.
The Intangibles
Eighty-ninth overall in 2014, the third round, six seasons, 111 games, 27 points across Washington, Edmonton and St. Louis.
Born in Cardiff, which makes him the only player in this book born in Britain.
He is twenty-nine and had never played more than 30 NHL games in a season before this one. Fifty-six games at twenty-nine, on a bad club with room in the bottom six, is what a career like this looks like when it finally arrives.
The 1st-percentile chance share is the thing to remember, and the plus-10 is the thing to forget.
What kind of player
The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.
- a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.
“He forechecks into contact and finishes checks on defencemen forty pounds heavier, which is the entire case for a fourth-line winger of his size and the reason he has kept getting called up for six years.”
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2022-23 · 546 minutes
- Expected goals
- 38.8%
- 3rd pct
- Shot attempts
- 41.7%
- 5th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 23 for, 14 against. Expected: 15.0 and 23.7.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe report ranks him 35 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 638 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 63 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Tracked
NHL Edge, 2022-23 · 56 games
- Top speed
- 22.2 mph
- 52nd pct
- Bursts over 20 mph
- 0.96 a game
- Distance
- 1.60 miles a game
- Hardest shot
- 91.5 mph
- 76th pct
fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0
how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes
skated, all strengths
one shot; the league's average best is 84.9
A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.
Usual linemates
2022-23 · 546 minutes at five-on-five
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2022-23
- The club
- STL took 45.8% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 38.8% — 7.0 below the club he did it on.
- The role
- Third line, 546 minutes at five-on-five — 19th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alexey Toropchenko | 46.3% | 30.6% | 44.5% |
| Tyler Pitlick | 43.6% | 33.5% | 46.2% |
| Colton Parayko | 34.5% | 41.0% | 46.4% |
46.3% together, 30.6% for him apart and 44.5% for Toropchenko apart. He was worse away from Toropchenko, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Toropchenko did.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
57 unblocked shots in 2022-23, 2 of them goals. His median goal came from 31 feet. 33% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 23% from beyond forty.