Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

26

Nathan Walker

St. Louis Blues Left Wing

The first Australian to play in the NHL, 63 penalty minutes at 5-9, and a twenty-eight goal finishing surplus on his ice.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2017-18WSH/EDM910106000616.79:27
2018-19WSH3011+1200020.08:09
2019-20STL5112-24000616.711:08
2020-21STL8101-420001010.013:30
2021-22STL308412+120023821.111:33
2022-23STL562810+1025001434.710:17
2023-24STL457613-1180004316.310:49
2024-25STL738816-5630007211.112:06
2025-26 so far
Career229282856012200322012.711:12

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

8 goals and 8 assists in 73 games — 16 points at 12:06 a night, minus-5, with 63 penalty minutes.

47.4 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 26th percentile, across 804 minutes. His ice went 52-38 against an expectation of 24.26-26.97 — a twenty-eight goal finishing surplus, the largest of any player in this edition, on a fourth line that was being outchanced.

The Finesse Game

72 attempts at a median of 31 feet with 30 per cent from inside 20 and 30 per cent from beyond 40, and 8 goals. There is not much here: 56 points in 229 NHL games.

8 assists in 73 games. He is a forechecker who puts the puck at the net and the offensive game has never developed beyond that.

The Physical Game

5-9 and 191 and he hits everybody. He forechecks first, he finishes checks on men fifty pounds heavier, and he is genuinely irritating to line up against.

63 penalty minutes in 73 games is a very high rate for a fourth-line winger at twelve minutes a night. He goes into the scrum, he draws the response, and a share of the total is the second penalty in a sequence he started.

The Intangibles

Born in Cardiff and raised in Sydney, the first Australian to be drafted into and to play in the NHL, and it took him until he was 23 to get there.

229 games across three organisations and eleven professional seasons, most of them in the American League. He is 31 and the story is better than the statistics.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 804 minutes

Expected goals
47.4%
27th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
47.3%
27th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 52 for, 38 against. Expected: 24.3 and 27.0.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
42nd
Numbers
27th

The two rank him within 15 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 71 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 804 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
STL took 51.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 47.4% — 3.7 below the club he did it on.
The role
Third line, 804 minutes at five-on-five — 37th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Alexey Toropchenko48.8%41.7%46.4%
Radek Faksa48.5%44.8%50.1%
Ryan Suter44.6%48.8%48.8%

48.8% together, 41.7% for him apart and 46.4% for Toropchenko apart. He was worse away from Toropchenko, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Toropchenko did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

99 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 8 of them goals. His median goal came from 15 feet. 30% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 30% from beyond forty.