This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

Mitch Marner

Fifty-nine assists in 69 games, and 445 in a career of 576.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2016-17	TOR	77	19	42	61	0	38	4	0	5	176	10.8	16:49
2017-18	TOR	82	22	47	69	-1	26	8	0	2	194	11.3	16:23
2018-19	TOR	82	26	68	94	+22	22	3	1	5	233	11.2	19:49
2019-20	TOR	59	16	51	67	+6	16	6	0	2	154	10.4	21:33
2020-21	TOR	55	20	47	67	+21	20	0	0	5	156	12.8	22:26
2021-22	TOR	72	35	62	97	+23	16	6	3	5	224	15.6	20:53
2022-23	TOR	80	30	69	99	+18	28	9	4	4	196	15.3	21:17
2023-24	TOR	69	26	59	85	+21	18	8	1	2	158	16.5	21:17
2024-25 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	576	194	445	639	+110	184	44	9	30	1491	13.0	19:52

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

69 games, 26 goals and 59 assists for 85 points, 8 on the power play, 1 shorthanded, 18 penalty minutes, 21:17 a night and plus-21, with 2 game-winners. He took 55.0 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,030 minutes, the 88th percentile, and his ice went 56-37 against an expectation of 47.90-39.19.

Eight goals of finishing above what the chances were worth and two goals of goaltending above them. Eighty-five points in 69 games is the same rate that produced 99 the season before.

The Finesse Game

248 attempts at a median of 27 feet with 40 per cent of them from inside twenty and 31 per cent from beyond forty, 160 of those on goal, converted at 16.5 per cent against a career 13.01 across 1,491 shots.

445 career assists against 194 goals in 576 games. He is the best passer on this club and one of the best in this chapter — the puck goes through a lane a half-second before the lane exists — and 248 attempts from a man playing twenty-one minutes a night says he would rather make the play than take the shot.

The Physical Game

He is 6-0 and 180 and took 18 penalty minutes.

184 career penalty minutes in 576 games. He is light and does not initiate contact, but he goes back into his own end harder than most first-line wingers and 9 career shorthanded goals is the evidence for it.

The Intangibles

Fourth overall in 2015 by Toronto, eight seasons, one organisation, and 639 points in 576 games.

A career plus-110 and 9 shorthanded goals. He has scored 85 or more in four different seasons and has played every one of his 576 NHL games for the club that drafted him.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

perimeter· shoots from the outside, by choice or because he cannot get in
30.6% of his attempts from 40 feet or beyond, 92nd percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it
workhorse· carries the load at even strength
14:56 a game at five-on-five, 93rd percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.78) · 58% keep it
playmakera strength· passes up the shot a scorer takes
“He is the best passer on this club and one of the best in this chapter — the puck goes through a lane a half-second before the lane exists — and 248 attempts from a man playing twenty-one minutes a night says he would rather make the play than take the shot.”
penalty-killera strength· trusted a man short
“He is light and does not initiate contact, but he goes back into his own end harder than most first-line wingers and 9 career shorthanded goals is the evidence for it.”
leadershipa strength· the room, and who holds it
“A career plus-110 and 9 shorthanded goals.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,030 minutes

Expected goals: 55%; 87th pct
Shot attempts: 53.8%; 84th pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 56 for, 37 against. Expected: 47.9 and 39.2.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight

Report

95th

Numbers

87th

The two rank him within 8 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 81 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 69 games

Top speed: 21.7 mph; 27th pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 0.58 a game
Distance: 3.20 miles a game
Hardest shot: 89.7 mph; 69th pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 1030 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club: TOR took 52.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 55.0% — 2.9 above the club he did it on.
The role: Second line, 1,030 minutes at five-on-five — 62nd percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Auston Matthews	56.9%	49.4%	56.6%
Matthew Knies	60.2%	50.8%	45.4%
Morgan Rielly	49.9%	58.7%	50.2%

56.9% together, 49.4% for him apart and 56.6% for Matthews apart. He was worse away from Matthews, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Matthews did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

248 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 30 of them goals. His median goal came from 17 feet. 40% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 31% from beyond forty.