This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

Mitch Marner

102 points and 75 assists in Toronto, and the largest thing any club acquired in the summer.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2016-17	TOR	77	19	42	61	0	38	4	0	5	176	10.8	16:49
2017-18	TOR	82	22	47	69	-1	26	8	0	2	194	11.3	16:23
2018-19	TOR	82	26	68	94	+22	22	3	1	5	233	11.2	19:49
2019-20	TOR	59	16	51	67	+6	16	6	0	2	154	10.4	21:33
2020-21	TOR	55	20	47	67	+21	20	0	0	5	156	12.8	22:26
2021-22	TOR	72	35	62	97	+23	16	6	3	5	224	15.6	20:53
2022-23	TOR	80	30	69	99	+18	28	9	4	4	196	15.3	21:17
2023-24	TOR	69	26	59	85	+21	18	8	1	2	158	16.5	21:17
2024-25	TOR	81	27	75	102	+18	14	6	1	7	173	15.6	21:19
2025-26 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	657	221	520	741	+128	198	50	10	37	1664	13.3	20:03

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

27 goals and 75 assists in 81 games for Toronto — 102 points at 21:19 a night, plus-18, with 6 power-play goals, a shorthanded goal and 7 game-winning goals on 173 shots, and 14 penalty minutes.

It is a career high and the fourth time in five seasons he has cleared ninety points. Vegas acquired him in the summer in a sign-and-trade for Nicolas Roy, which for a hundred-point winger is a price no club has paid in a decade.

The Finesse Game

He is one of the two or three best passers in the league. He holds the puck on the half wall until a killing box commits and then puts it through the seam, he throws pucks into space a full second before a teammate reaches it, and 75 assists says how often it arrives.

173 attempts and 27 goals at 15.6 per cent. The shot has always been the fourth thing about him and it is genuinely good; he does not use it enough and never has.

The Physical Game

6-0 and 180 and light. He does not forecheck with force and he does not win pucks against defencemen on the wall.

14 penalty minutes in 81 games. What he does do that most players his size do not is defend: he is among the better stick-checking forwards in the league, he kills penalties, and he takes the puck rather than the man.

The Intangibles

Fourth overall in 2015 and 657 games and 741 points, nine seasons of it in one city under a level of scrutiny very few players in the sport experience.

He is 28. He has 102 points and thirteen playoff series behind him and almost none of them ended well, and that is the file the entire hockey world will be reading this spring.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

perimeter· shoots from the outside, by choice or because he cannot get in
32.4% of his attempts from 40 feet or beyond, 96th percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it
durable· was available
81 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it
drives-play· the shot clock turns his way while he is out there
54.4% of the expected goals at five-on-five with him on, 48.2% for his club in the minutes he sat: +6.2, 93rd percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats moderately (0.39) · 29% keep it
playmakera strength· passes up the shot a scorer takes
“**He is one of the two or three best passers in the league.** He holds the puck on the half wall until a killing box commits and then puts it through the seam, he throws pucks into space a full second before a teammate reaches it, and 75 assists says how often it arrives.”
forechecks-aggressivelyhe lacks it· first man in, and on the puck
“He does not forecheck with force and he does not win pucks against defencemen on the wall.”
wins-the-wallhe lacks it· the corners and below the goal line
“He does not forecheck with force and he does not win pucks against defencemen on the wall.”
defends-with-reacha strength· takes the puck before the contact happens
“he is among the better stick-checking forwards in the league, he kills penalties, and he takes the puck rather than the man.”
penalty-killera strength· trusted a man short
“he is among the better stick-checking forwards in the league, he kills penalties, and he takes the puck rather than the man.”
defensively-responsiblea strength· comes back; can be trusted with a lead
“What he does do that most players his size do not is defend: he is among the better stick-checking forwards in the league, he kills penalties, and he takes the puck rather than the man.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,138 minutes

Expected goals: 54.4%; 88th pct
Shot attempts: 50.6%; 59th pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 59 for, 43 against. Expected: 52.4 and 44.0.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight

Report

96th

Numbers

88th

The two rank him within 8 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 83 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 81 games

Top speed: 23.6 mph; 97th pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 1.06 a game
Distance: 3.33 miles a game
Hardest shot: 87.3 mph; 62nd pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 with TOR · 1138 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club: TOR took 50.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 54.4% — 4.2 above the club he did it on.
The role: Second line, 1,138 minutes at five-on-five — 80th percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Auston Matthews	58.0%	46.2%	46.9%
Matthew Knies	56.0%	51.9%	48.3%
Oliver Ekman-Larsson	49.3%	57.7%	50.8%

58.0% together, 46.2% for him apart and 46.9% for Matthews apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

259 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 28 of them goals. His median goal came from 23 feet. 26% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 32% from beyond forty.