Armchair Hockey Scout

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2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

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59

Tyler Bertuzzi

Chicago Blackhawks Left Wing

Twenty-one goals from a median of eighteen feet, and 248 penalty minutes' worth of standing where he is not wanted.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2016-17DET7000-1000030.09:06
2017-18DET4871724-739101838.414:24
2018-19DET73212647+113630413116.016:31
2019-20DET71212748-234030112916.319:19
2020-21DET9527043012025.019:37
2021-22DET68303262-114761518016.719:52
2022-23DET/BOS5082230-8294001077.516:29
2023-24TOR80212243+25350216013.116:03
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—406113148261-372482511481313.917:10

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

Eighty games in Toronto, 21 goals and 22 assists, 5 on the power play, 16:03 a night and plus-2. He took 55.9 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,142 minutes, the 91st percentile, and his ice went 59-48 against an expectation of 59.41-46.88.

That is the second-best chance share on the Chicago roster and it was earned somewhere else, against the Atlantic, on a club that made the playoffs. He converted 13.13 per cent of 160 shots against a career 13.90 across 813.

The Finesse Game

He shoots from a median of 18 feet with 55 per cent of his attempts from inside 20, which is a scoring profile almost nobody on this roster has. The goals come from the paint and the second chance rather than from a clean look.

The hands are better than the reputation. One hundred and forty-eight career assists in 406 games is a real playmaking rate for a man whose whole method is described as agitation, and he makes a quick short pass out of a scrum as well as anybody here.

The skating is the limit. He is not fast and never has been, and everything he does happens within fifteen feet of a net for that reason.

The Physical Game

He is among the most irritating forwards in the league to play against — he stands where he is not wanted, talks the whole time, and does not move when a defenceman arrives. Two hundred and forty-eight penalty minutes in 406 games is the cost and he pays it willingly.

At 6-2 and 200 he is not the biggest man on any ice, and the effect is entirely about refusing to leave rather than about winning a collision. He retaliates, and 53 penalty minutes in 80 games last season includes some that hurt his club.

The Intangibles

A second-round pick in 2013 who has scored 113 goals in 406 games and been part of a deadline trade to Boston and a free-agent year in Toronto. He is 29 and this is the first time a club has signed him to be one of its best forwards.

On a roster with a nineteen-year-old centre and no net-front presence under 36, he is precisely the thing missing.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    80 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • net-fronta strength· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips

    “He shoots from a median of 18 feet with 55 per cent of his attempts from inside 20, which is a scoring profile almost nobody on this roster has.”

  • agitatora strength· gets under the skin; draws the retaliation

    “He is among the most irritating forwards in the league to play against — he stands where he is not wanted, talks the whole time, and does not move when a defenceman arrives.”

  • retaliatesa strength· answers the cross-check, and takes the second penalty

    “He retaliates, and 53 penalty minutes in 80 games last season includes some that hurt his club.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,142 minutes

Expected goals
55.9%
91st pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
53.7%
83rd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 59 for, 48 against. Expected: 59.4 and 46.9.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
24th
Numbers
91st

The numbers rank him 67 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 63 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 80 games

Top speed
21.3 mph
16th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.1

Bursts over 20 mph
0.36 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.42 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
86.4 mph
47th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.5

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 with TOR · 1142 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
TOR took 52.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 55.9% — 3.8 above the club he did it on.
The role
First line, 1,142 minutes at five-on-five — 77th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
John Tavares58.9%53.0%51.2%
William Nylander56.7%55.1%48.6%
TJ Brodie52.9%57.6%47.9%

58.9% together, 53.0% for him apart and 51.2% for Tavares apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

232 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 21 of them goals. His median goal came from 9 feet. 56% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 15% from beyond forty.