This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

Morgan Rielly

Fifty-one assists in 72 games, and 392 in a career of 791.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2013-14	TOR	73	2	25	27	-13	12	1	0	0	96	2.1	17:38
2014-15	TOR	81	8	21	29	-16	14	1	0	0	148	5.4	20:20
2015-16	TOR	82	9	27	36	-17	28	2	1	0	167	5.4	23:14
2016-17	TOR	76	6	21	27	-20	21	1	0	1	171	3.5	22:10
2017-18	TOR	76	6	46	52	-4	14	1	0	0	182	3.3	21:36
2018-19	TOR	82	20	52	72	+24	14	3	0	5	223	9.0	23:07
2019-20	TOR	47	3	24	27	+6	24	0	0	2	123	2.4	24:12
2020-21	TOR	55	5	30	35	+11	14	1	0	1	101	5.0	23:37
2021-22	TOR	82	10	58	68	+16	40	2	0	3	221	4.5	23:44
2022-23	TOR	65	4	37	41	-9	21	1	0	1	126	3.2	21:42
2023-24	TOR	72	7	51	58	+7	27	1	0	0	173	4.0	23:44
2024-25 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	791	80	392	472	-15	229	14	1	13	1731	4.6	22:12

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

72 games, 7 goals and 51 assists for 58 points, 1 on the power play, 27 penalty minutes, 23:44 a night and plus-7. He took 50.1 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,398 minutes, the 53rd percentile, and his ice went 77-66 against an expectation of 61.89-61.66.

Fifteen goals of finishing above what the chances were worth and four more conceded than they called for. Seventy-seven goals for in 1,398 minutes is the most of any defenceman on the club and it came on a chance share of almost exactly half.

The Finesse Game

237 attempts at a median of 41 feet with 52 per cent of them from beyond forty and 13 per cent from inside twenty, 168 of those on goal, converted at 4.1 per cent against a career 4.62 across 1,731 shots.

392 career assists against 80 goals in 791 games. He carries the puck out of his own end and joins the rush rather than supporting it, and a forty-one-foot median attempt says he walks well inside the line before he shoots — the shot is a decoy and the pass is the play.

The Physical Game

He is 6-1 and 219 and took 27 penalty minutes.

229 career penalty minutes in 791 games is a low total for a defenceman playing twenty-four minutes a night. He is solidly built but does not defend by contact; the gap is closed with feet and there is not much net-front work in his game.

The Intangibles

Fifth overall in 2012 by Toronto, eleven seasons, one organisation, and 472 points in 791 games.

A career minus-15 across eleven seasons on one club. He is 30, he played twenty-three and three-quarter minutes a night, and 51 assists is a very large number from a defenceman at any age.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

slot-man· shoots from where goals are scored
19.0% of his attempts in the slot, 94th percentile among defencemen
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.69) · 44% keep it
workhorse· carries the load at even strength
19:25 a game at five-on-five, 96th percentile among defencemen
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.78) · 58% keep it
transitiona strength· carries it out; gains the line under control
“He carries the puck out of his own end and joins the rush rather than supporting it, and a forty-one-foot median attempt says he walks well inside the line before he shoots — the shot is a decoy and the pass is the play.”
clears-the-creasehe lacks it· moves grown men off the front of his net
“He is solidly built but does not defend by contact; the gap is closed with feet and there is not much net-front work in his game.”
playmakera strength· passes up the shot a scorer takes
“392 career assists against 80 goals in 791 games.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,398 minutes

Expected goals: 50.1%; 54th pct
Shot attempts: 50.3%; 57th pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 77 for, 66 against. Expected: 61.9 and 61.7.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight

Report

76th

Numbers

54th

The report ranks him 22 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 75 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 72 games

Top speed: 22.7 mph; 85th pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 1.36 a game
Distance: 3.44 miles a game
Hardest shot: 89.3 mph; 37th pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 1398 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club: TOR took 52.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 50.1% — 2.0 below the club he did it on.
The role: First pair, 1,398 minutes at five-on-five — 94th percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
TJ Brodie	48.6%	52.1%	50.5%
Auston Matthews	52.6%	48.6%	59.6%
William Nylander	51.0%	49.6%	53.3%

48.6% together, 52.1% for him apart and 50.5% for Brodie apart. He was better away from Brodie, who was no worse away from him — the pairing cost him more than it cost Brodie.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

237 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 7 of them goals. His median goal came from 16 feet. 13% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 52% from beyond forty.