Armchair Hockey Scout

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2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

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81

Michael Eyssimont

Tampa Bay Lightning Center

One hundred and four penalty minutes in 81 games, from an eleven-minute fourth-liner.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2021-22WPG10000000010.05:49
2022-23WPG/SJS/TBL5451015+3630001244.012:15
2023-24TBL81111425+71042021497.411:51
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—136162440+101672022745.811:58

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

81 games, 11 goals and 14 assists for 25 points, 2 on the power play, 104 penalty minutes, 11:51 a night and plus-7, with 2 game-winners. He took 49.4 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 927 minutes, the 45th percentile, and his ice went 34-27 against an expectation of 33.54-34.37.

Level with the chances at the offensive end and seven goals of goaltending above them at the other. The plus-7 is one of the few positive figures on this club and it came from the fourth line.

The Finesse Game

205 attempts at a median of 28 feet with 31 per cent of them from inside twenty, 140 of those on goal, converted at 7.4 per cent against a career 5.84 across 274 shots.

Sixteen career goals in 136 games. He shoots more than a fourth-line winger normally does — 205 attempts at eleven and a half minutes a night is a very high rate — and converts at well under the league average, which is the whole shape of him.

The Physical Game

He is 6-0 and 195 and took 104 penalty minutes in 81 games.

167 career penalty minutes in 136 games. He fights, he finishes every check available, and he is on the ice for eleven minutes precisely because of it; a hundred and four penalty minutes from a fourth-liner is a man doing the job he was hired for.

The Intangibles

One hundred and forty-second overall in 2016 by Los Angeles, three seasons, and Tampa Bay is his third organisation.

A career plus-10 in 136 games. He was a fifth-round pick who took five years to hold a place and has now played 81 games in a season for a club that finished sixth in the East.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    81 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • nastya strength· hard to play against; the edge is the point

    “He fights, he finishes every check available, and he is on the ice for eleven minutes precisely because of it; a hundred and four penalty minutes from a fourth-liner is a man doing the job he was hired for.”

  • net-fronthe lacks it· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips

    “He shoots more than a fourth-line winger normally does — 205 attempts at eleven and a half minutes a night is a very high rate — and converts at well under the league average, which is the whole shape of him.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 927 minutes

Expected goals
49.4%
48th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
52.1%
73rd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 34 for, 27 against. Expected: 33.5 and 34.4.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
80th
Numbers
48th

The report ranks him 32 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 76 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 81 games

Top speed
23.7 mph
98th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.1

Bursts over 20 mph
1.67 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
1.97 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
86.9 mph
50th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.5

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 927 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
TBL took 50.5% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 49.4% — 1.1 below the club he did it on.
The role
Fourth line, 927 minutes at five-on-five — 50th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Nick Perbix51.0%48.6%50.9%
Darren Raddysh49.9%49.1%53.1%
Nicholas Paul49.3%49.4%50.7%

51.0% together, 48.6% for him apart and 50.9% for Perbix apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

205 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 11 of them goals. His median goal came from 10 feet. 31% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 24% from beyond forty.