Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

71

Anthony Cirelli

Tampa Bay Lightning Center

Thirteen career shorthanded goals in 431 games, and a career plus-94.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2017-18TBL185611+1160002619.213:14
2018-19TBL82192039+253405512315.414:51
2019-20TBL68162844+283011311314.218:27
2020-21TBL50913220101237512.017:45
2021-22TBL76172643+157031414611.618:19
2022-23TBL58111829+13331211119.916:34
2023-24TBL79202545+23832312915.518:31
2024-25 so far
Career43197136233+942219131972313.417:12

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

79 games, 20 goals and 25 assists for 45 points, 3 on the power play, 2 shorthanded, 38 penalty minutes, 18:31 a night and plus-2, with 3 game-winners. He took 52.4 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,128 minutes, the 72nd percentile, and his ice went 48-54 against an expectation of 45.90-41.62.

Two goals of finishing above what the chances were worth and twelve more conceded than they called for. Twenty goals is a career high by one.

The Finesse Game

182 attempts at a median of 21 feet with 49 per cent of them from inside twenty, 124 of those on goal, converted at 15.5 per cent against a career 13.42 across 723 shots.

Ninety-seven career goals and 136 assists in 431 games. He gets to the inside without the puck as reliably as anybody on this club and finishes from there; half his attempts come from within twenty feet and he has never taken a power-play shift he did not earn.

The Physical Game

He is 6-1 and 193 and took 38 penalty minutes.

221 career penalty minutes in 431 games. He is not large and does not hit much, but he is relentless on the backcheck and takes the stick away rather than the body, which is why the penalty total stays low for a defensive centre.

The Intangibles

Seventy-second overall in 2015 by Tampa Bay, seven seasons, one organisation, and 233 points in 431 games.

Thirteen career shorthanded goals in 431 games and a career plus-94, behind only Nikita Kucherov among the forwards here. Twenty goals and 45 points from a defensive centre is more than the job usually returns.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,128 minutes

Expected goals
52.4%
71st pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
52.2%
73rd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 48 for, 54 against. Expected: 45.9 and 41.6.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
90th
Numbers
71st

The two rank him within 19 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 79 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 1128 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
TBL took 50.5% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 52.4% — 1.9 above the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 1,128 minutes at five-on-five — 76th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Brandon Hagel54.0%50.0%56.3%
Steven Stamkos47.6%55.6%51.2%
Erik Cernak47.0%55.4%48.2%

54.0% together, 50.0% for him apart and 56.3% for Hagel apart. He was worse away from Hagel, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Hagel did.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

182 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 19 of them goals. His median goal came from 14 feet. 49% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 18% from beyond forty.