This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-16 | PIT | 44 | 7 | 3 | 10 | -1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 51 | 13.7 | 9:45 |
| 2016-17 | PIT | 61 | 23 | 30 | 53 | +24 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 154 | 14.9 | 15:56 |
| 2017-18 | PIT | 79 | 18 | 12 | 30 | +2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 142 | 12.7 | 13:57 |
| 2018-19 | BUF | 78 | 14 | 20 | 34 | -18 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 147 | 9.5 | 14:37 |
| 2019-20 | BUF/PIT | 63 | 10 | 13 | 23 | -5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 102 | 9.8 | 13:07 |
| 2020-21 | WSH | 53 | 14 | 8 | 22 | -1 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 88 | 15.9 | 13:43 |
| 2021-22 | WSH | 71 | 19 | 24 | 43 | -2 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 129 | 14.7 | 15:17 |
| 2022-23 | WSH | 82 | 15 | 22 | 37 | +9 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 154 | 9.7 | 15:46 |
| 2023-24 | TBL | 57 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 50 | 8.0 | 11:06 |
| 2024-25 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 588 | 124 | 143 | 267 | +5 | 124 | 14 | 2 | 21 | 1017 | 12.2 | 13:57 |
This Season So Far
The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
57 games, 4 goals and 11 assists for 15 points, 12 penalty minutes, 11:06 a night and minus-3, with no game-winners. He took 48.4 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 593 minutes, the 41st percentile, and his ice went 21-24 against an expectation of 19.94-21.27.
A goal of finishing above what the chances were worth and three more conceded than they called for. He shot 8.0 per cent against a career 12.19, and eleven minutes a night is the least he has been given in nine seasons.
The Finesse Game
65 attempts at a median of 21 feet with 42 per cent of them from inside twenty, 50 of those on goal, converted at 8.0 per cent against a career 12.19 across 1,017 shots.
124 career goals and 143 assists in 588 games. He is 5-8 and everything he has ever scored has come from within twenty-five feet; a career 12.19 per cent from a man that size is the reason he has lasted nine seasons.
The Physical Game
He is 5-8 and 180 and took 12 penalty minutes.
124 career penalty minutes in 588 games. He is one of the smallest forwards in this edition and there is no physical component to his game in either direction; he wins pucks by arriving first or he does not win them.
The Intangibles
Undrafted, nine seasons, and Tampa Bay is his fourth organisation.
A career plus-5 and 267 points in 588 games from a man nobody drafted. He reached the league at 23 and has held a place in it for nine seasons at 5-8, which is a harder thing than the point totals make it look.
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 593 minutes
- Expected goals
- 48.4%
- 41st pct
- Shot attempts
- 49.6%
- 52nd pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 21 for, 24 against. Expected: 19.9 and 21.3.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe two rank him within 10 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.
Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 70 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Usual linemates
2023-24 · 593 minutes at five-on-five
- Nick Paul35%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2023-24
- The club
- TBL took 50.5% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 48.4% — 2.1 below the club he did it on.
- The role
- Fourth line, 593 minutes at five-on-five — 24th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Eyssimont | 51.2% | 46.7% | 48.8% |
| Nick Perbix | 47.0% | 49.2% | 51.7% |
| Nicholas Paul | 52.2% | 46.5% | 50.0% |
51.2% together, 46.7% for him apart and 48.8% for Eyssimont apart. He was worse away from Eyssimont, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Eyssimont did.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
65 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 4 of them goals. His median goal came from 20 feet. 43% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 14% from beyond forty.