Armchair Hockey Scout

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2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2025-26 report →

21

Robby Fabbri

Anaheim Ducks Center

Eighteen goals on ninety-seven shots — the highest conversion rate on this roster, from a man who has torn both knees.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2015-16STL72181937-22520311415.813:19
2016-17STL51111829-16274009112.115:37
2018-19STL32246-46001434.712:39
2019-20STL/DET61151732-332060311113.516:09
2020-21DET3010818+3160055817.217:16
2021-22DET56171330-233560112313.817:20
2022-23DET287916-1223033520.016:00
2023-24DET68181432-13325039718.612:52
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—39898102200-891832601967214.614:58

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

18 goals and 14 assists in 68 games for Detroit — 32 points at 12:52 a night, minus-13, with 5 power-play goals and 3 game-winners on 97 shots, converting at 18.56 per cent, and 32 penalty minutes.

Eighteen goals on ninety-seven shots is the highest conversion rate on this roster by a distance, and sixty-eight games is the most he has played in a season since 2015-16.

42.4 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 9th percentile. His ice went 28-39 against an expectation of 26.58-36.03 — five fewer conceded than the chances predicted.

The Finesse Game

97 attempts at a median of 17 feet, with 54 per cent from inside 20 and 11 per cent from beyond 40, converting at 18.56 per cent. He shoots from the paint and almost nowhere else, and the conversion is the shot selection rather than a hot year.

He goes to the net and takes the puck to the middle of the ice, which for a 5-11 forward requires a willingness he has never lacked.

14 assists in 68 games. He is a finisher on somebody else’s line.

The Physical Game

5-11 and 185. He is not a physical player and he does not win pucks on the wall, and the game is played in traffic without playing through it.

32 penalty minutes in 68 games. He does not agitate and he does not retaliate.

The body is the whole story of the career. Two torn knees, a season lost entirely, and 398 games in nine years for a man who should have played six hundred.

The Intangibles

Twenty-first overall in 2014 by St. Louis, 37 points as a rookie at nineteen, and then the injuries.

He is 28 and was traded here in the summer. Ninety-eight goals in 398 games is a good NHL player who has been available for two thirds of his career, and a club that finished thirtieth is exactly the sort of place where he gets a top-six job and a power play.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • slot-man· shoots from where goals are scored

    66.9% of his attempts in the slot, 94th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.69) · 44% keep it

  • net-fronta strength· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips

    “**He goes to the net and takes the puck to the middle of the ice**, which for a 5-11 forward requires a willingness he has never lacked.”

  • wins-the-wallhe lacks it· the corners and below the goal line

    “**He is not a physical player and he does not win pucks on the wall**, and the game is played in traffic without playing through it.”

  • agitatorhe lacks it· gets under the skin; draws the retaliation

    “He does not agitate and he does not retaliate.”

  • retaliateshe lacks it· answers the cross-check, and takes the second penalty

    “He does not agitate and he does not retaliate.”

  • playmakerhe lacks it· passes up the shot a scorer takes

    “14 assists in 68 games. He is a finisher on somebody else's line.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 735 minutes

Expected goals
42.4%
10th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
42.4%
6th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 28 for, 39 against. Expected: 26.6 and 36.0.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
39th
Numbers
10th

The report ranks him 29 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 67 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 68 games

Top speed
22.1 mph
44th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.1

Bursts over 20 mph
0.35 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
1.92 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
94.7 mph
91st pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.5

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 with DET · 735 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
DET took 45.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 42.4% — 3.5 below the club he did it on.
The role
Fourth line, 735 minutes at five-on-five — 34th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Daniel Sprong43.5%41.8%45.6%
Shayne Gostisbehere45.0%41.0%47.6%
Moritz Seider34.7%46.1%45.3%

43.5% together, 41.8% for him apart and 45.6% for Sprong apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

127 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 18 of them goals. His median goal came from 10 feet. 54% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 11% from beyond forty.