Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

12

Matt Boldy

Minnesota Wild Left Wing

73 points and 271 shots — the most on the club by 113 — and 10 game-winning goals.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2021-22MIN47152439+171030211313.315:23
2022-23MIN81313263+13980525512.218:30
2023-24MIN75294069+548100722712.818:55
2024-25MIN82274673+151601027110.020:17
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—285102142244+241482702486611.818:37

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

27 goals and 46 assists in 82 games for 73 points, plus-1, on 20:17 a night with 10 game-winners and 271 shots — the most on the roster by 113.

53.5 per cent at five-on-five, the 81st percentile — the best figure among the club’s forwards who played a full season. 10 per cent conversion on that volume is low and it kept the club in games all year.

The Finesse Game

A big winger with genuine skill who has learned to shoot rather than wait. 271 attempts is a top-fifteen volume in the league and the release is quick and heavy off the pass.

46 assists is the more impressive half on a club that scored 228 goals. He holds the puck on the wall, delays, and finds the seam — and with Kaprizov out for half the season he was the only man on the roster who could create anything by himself.

The Physical Game

6-2 and 201, and he uses it. He protects the puck below the goal line, goes to the net front, and takes contact to make a play.

51 penalty minutes over 82 games is a moderate rate. The durability is excellent — three consecutive full seasons.

The Intangibles

A first-round pick who has improved in each of four NHL seasons and signed a long contract before the price rose.

At 24 the projection is 80 points beside a healthy Kaprizov. He carried this club through the half-season without him, which is the most useful thing this chapter can record.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    82 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • drives-play· the shot clock turns his way while he is out there

    53.5% of the expected goals at five-on-five with him on, 46.9% for his club in the minutes he sat: +6.6, 95th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats moderately (0.39) · 29% keep it

  • workhorse· carries the load at even strength

    14:48 a game at five-on-five, 94th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.78) · 58% keep it

  • playmakera strength· passes up the shot a scorer takes

    “He holds the puck on the wall, delays, and finds the seam”

  • wins-the-walla strength· the corners and below the goal line

    “He protects the puck below the goal line”

  • net-fronta strength· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips

    “goes to the net front, and takes contact to make a play”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,214 minutes

Expected goals
53.5%
82nd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
50.7%
61st pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 46 for, 42 against. Expected: 50.8 and 44.1.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
91st
Numbers
82nd

The two rank him within 9 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 81 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 82 games

Top speed
23.0 mph
84th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
1.26 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
3.16 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
91.7 mph
87th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1214 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
MIN took 49.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 53.5% — 4.4 above the club he did it on.
The role
First line, 1,214 minutes at five-on-five — 86th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Marco Rossi53.8%53.2%51.9%
Brock Faber49.7%56.7%44.0%
Jake Middleton51.2%55.2%44.3%

53.8% together, 53.2% for him apart and 51.9% for Rossi apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

415 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 29 of them goals. His median goal came from 21 feet. 32% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 24% from beyond forty.