Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

81

Dylan Holloway

St. Louis Blues Left Wing

26 goals, 63 points and eight game-winners in the first season after an offer sheet Edmonton declined to match.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2022-23EDM51369027001446.89:35
2023-24EDM38639-1291005610.711:22
2024-25STL77263763+211060817814.616:49
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—166354681+206670927812.613:21

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

26 goals and 37 assists in 77 games — 63 points, at 16:49 a night, plus-21, with 6 power-play goals and 8 game-winning goals on 178 shots, and only 10 penalty minutes.

54.6 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 84th percentile. His ice went 58-35 against an expectation of 43.51-36.21 — five goals of scoring missing and level against, on a first line that was winning the play.

The Finesse Game

178 attempts at a median of 32 feet with 28 per cent from inside 20, converting at 14.6 per cent. He is a rush shooter and the release is heavy.

37 assists is the surprise. He had 45 points in his first 89 NHL games and 63 in his next 77, and the difference is that he was given the puck. He carries it through the neutral zone at speed and he does not need to slow down to make the play.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 207 and he plays a hard, honest game. He forechecks first, he finishes checks, and he wins pucks along the wall against defencemen.

10 penalty minutes in 77 games is a remarkably low total for a player who plays this way. He does not retaliate and he is essentially never beaten badly enough to need to foul.

The Intangibles

Fourteenth overall in 2020 by Edmonton, and St. Louis signed him to an offer sheet in the summer of 2024 that Edmonton declined to match — a two-year deal at a price that now looks like the best piece of business in this book.

166 games and 81 points. He is 24 and he was on the ice for a Stanley Cup Final in Edmonton before he could get regular minutes there.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • hard-shot· beats a goaltender from range

    5 of 67 attempts from 40 feet or beyond, 7.5%, 96th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.21) · 16% keep it

  • disciplined· stays out of the box

    0.13 penalty minutes a game over 77, 7th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.75) · 35% keep it

  • workhorse· carries the load at even strength

    14:28 a game at five-on-five, 92nd percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.78) · 58% keep it

  • transitiona strength· carries it out; gains the line under control

    “He carries it through the neutral zone at speed and he does not need to slow down to make the play.”

  • forechecks-aggressivelya strength· first man in, and on the puck

    “He forechecks first, he finishes checks, and he wins pucks along the wall against defencemen.”

  • punishinga strength· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “He forechecks first, he finishes checks, and he wins pucks along the wall against defencemen.”

  • wins-the-walla strength· the corners and below the goal line

    “He forechecks first, he finishes checks, and he wins pucks along the wall against defencemen.”

  • fouls-when-beatena strength· the stick foul that follows losing a step

    “He does not retaliate and he is essentially never beaten badly enough to need to foul.”

  • retaliateshe lacks it· answers the cross-check, and takes the second penalty

    “He does not retaliate and he is essentially never beaten badly enough to need to foul.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,114 minutes

Expected goals
54.6%
88th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
51.6%
70th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 58 for, 35 against. Expected: 43.5 and 36.2.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
93rd
Numbers
88th

The two rank him within 5 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 82 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 77 games

Top speed
22.5 mph
63rd pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
2.48 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.91 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
98.0 mph
98th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1114 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
STL took 51.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 54.6% — 3.5 above the club he did it on.
The role
First line, 1,114 minutes at five-on-five — 76th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Brayden Schenn54.0%55.7%42.4%
Jordan Kyrou57.5%51.3%50.7%
Justin Faulk48.4%57.8%47.7%

54.0% together, 55.7% for him apart and 42.4% for Schenn apart. Schenn was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Schenn than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

238 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 26 of them goals. His median goal came from 22 feet. 28% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 28% from beyond forty.