Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

81

Dylan Holloway

St. Louis Blues Left Wing

26 goals, 63 points and eight game-winners in the first season after an offer sheet Edmonton declined to match.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2022-23EDM51369027001446.89:35
2023-24EDM38639-1291005610.711:22
2024-25STL77263763+211060817814.616:49
2025-26 so far
Career166354681+206670927812.613:21

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

26 goals and 37 assists in 77 games — 63 points, at 16:49 a night, plus-21, with 6 power-play goals and 8 game-winning goals on 178 shots, and only 10 penalty minutes.

53.7 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 84th percentile. His ice went 37-36 against an expectation of 42.13-36.36 — five goals of scoring missing and level against, on a first line that was winning the play.

The Finesse Game

178 attempts at a median of 32 feet with 28 per cent from inside 20, converting at 14.6 per cent. He is a rush shooter and the release is heavy.

37 assists is the surprise. He had 45 points in his first 89 NHL games and 63 in his next 77, and the difference is that he was given the puck. He carries it through the neutral zone at speed and he does not need to slow down to make the play.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 207 and he plays a hard, honest game. He forechecks first, he finishes checks, and he wins pucks along the wall against defencemen.

10 penalty minutes in 77 games is a remarkably low total for a player who plays this way. He does not retaliate and he is essentially never beaten badly enough to need to foul.

The Intangibles

Fourteenth overall in 2020 by Edmonton, and St. Louis signed him to an offer sheet in the summer of 2024 that Edmonton declined to match — a two-year deal at a price that now looks like the best piece of business in this book.

166 games and 81 points. He is 24 and he was on the ice for a Stanley Cup Final in Edmonton before he could get regular minutes there.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,114 minutes

Expected goals
53.7%
84th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
51%
64th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 37 for, 36 against. Expected: 42.1 and 36.4.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
93rd
Numbers
84th

The two rank him within 9 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 82 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1114 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
STL took 51.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 53.7% — 2.6 above the club he did it on.
The role
First line, 1,114 minutes at five-on-five — 76th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Brayden Schenn53.0%54.9%43.3%
Jordan Kyrou56.3%50.7%50.1%
Justin Faulk48.2%56.7%47.8%

53.0% together, 54.9% for him apart and 43.3% for Schenn apart. Schenn was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Schenn than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

238 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 26 of them goals. His median goal came from 22 feet. 28% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 28% from beyond forty.