Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

47

Mark Kastelic

Boston Bruins Center

Six foot four, 234 pounds, seven minutes and forty-three seconds a night.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2021-22OTT16224-1140011118.29:11
2022-23OTT657411-6102002739.68:54
2023-24OTT635510-563000608.37:43
2024-25 so far
Career144141125-121790031449.78:25

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

5 goals and 5 assists in 63 games for Ottawa — 10 points at 7:43 a night, minus-5, on 60 shots with 63 penalty minutes.

46.4 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 476 minutes, the 26th percentile. His ice went 20-30 against an expectation of 15.79-18.21 — twelve goals conceded above expectation in a fourth-line role.

The Finesse Game

60 attempts at a median of 23 feet, with 47 per cent from inside 20 and 13 per cent from beyond 40, converting at 8.33 per cent. Fourteen goals in 144 NHL games.

Five assists. He does not create, he does not carry the puck and he is not asked to — the job is to win a defensive-zone draw, put the puck behind the defence and change.

The Physical Game

6-4 and 234, and this is the entire report. He finishes every check and he hurts people, and he leads most lineups he is in for hits despite playing under eight minutes.

63 penalty minutes in 63 games and 179 in 144 for his career. He takes liberties and he answers for them, and he is the fourth-line deterrent a club that plays in this division has decided it needs.

He is trusted a man short and he wins the draw that begins the shift.

The Intangibles

A hundred and twenty-fifth overall in 2019, and 144 NHL games at 25 after a long junior career in the Western league.

He arrived from Ottawa in the trade that sent Linus Ullmark away. A fifth-round pick who becomes an NHL fourth-line centre by being 234 pounds and willing is a real career, and on a club spending 5:30 a game shorthanded, sixty-three penalty minutes in sixty-three games is the part to watch.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 476 minutes

Expected goals
46.4%
26th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
48.1%
36th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 20 for, 30 against. Expected: 15.8 and 18.2.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
21st
Numbers
26th

The two rank him within 5 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 41 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 58 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 with OTT · 476 minutes at five-on-five

  • Parker Kellynow COL66%
  • Boris Katchoukoff the roster29%
  • Dominik Kubalikoff the roster27%

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
OTT took 49.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 46.4% — 2.8 below the club he did it on.
The role
Fourth line, 476 minutes at five-on-five — 16th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Parker Kelly46.0%47.2%46.4%
Jakob Chychrun51.4%43.4%48.4%
Erik Brannstrom48.2%45.6%50.6%

46.0% together, 47.2% for him apart and 46.4% for Kelly apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

75 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 5 of them goals. His median goal came from 13 feet. 47% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 13% from beyond forty.