This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

Jason Zucker

Ten shots per 60 at the 19th-percentile conversion, in a season cut to forty-one games.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2011-12	MIN	6	0	2	2	-2	2	0	0	0	10	0.0	11:02
2012-13	MIN	20	4	1	5	+4	8	0	0	0	34	11.8	11:16
2013-14	MIN	21	4	1	5	+2	2	1	0	1	40	10.0	12:59
2014-15	MIN	51	21	5	26	-9	18	1	1	3	124	16.9	15:04
2015-16	MIN	71	13	10	23	-4	20	0	1	1	158	8.2	15:35
2016-17	MIN	79	22	25	47	+34	30	1	0	3	172	12.8	15:17
2017-18	MIN	82	33	31	64	+8	44	7	1	7	222	14.9	16:58
2018-19	MIN	81	21	21	42	-9	28	7	0	5	214	9.8	17:05
2019-20	MIN/PIT	60	20	21	41	-4	21	7	0	4	111	18.0	16:20
2020-21	PIT	38	9	9	18	-8	21	1	0	1	67	13.4	15:41
2021-22	PIT	41	8	9	17	-2	15	2	0	0	102	7.8	14:49
2022-23 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	550	155	135	290	+10	209	27	3	25	1254	12.4	15:39

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

41 games, 8 goals and 9 assists at 14:49 a night, minus-2, fifteen penalty minutes, 102 shots. Fifty-ninth overall in 2010 by Minnesota, eleven seasons, 550 games, 290 points.

The Finesse Game

10.07 shots per 60 is the 88th percentile among forwards and 7.8 per cent shooting is the 19th. He fired more often than almost anybody on this roster and converted less often than almost anybody.

A hundred and two shots in forty-one games produced eight goals. His career rate is 155 goals from 1,254 shots — 12.4 per cent — so last season sits at roughly two-thirds of what he has always done.

1.65 even-strength points per 60 is the 41st percentile and two of the eight goals came on the power play off 1:31 a night.

2.17 giveaways per 60 is the 83rd percentile against 1.48 takeaways at the 39th, which is the file’s other soft column.

56.3 per cent of the expected goals is the 88th percentile and 51.3 per cent of the attempts the 64th, out of 46.7 per cent offensive-zone starts, the 226th-lowest of the 652 skaters who took two hundred end-zone starts. A five-point gap between chance share and attempt share out of a below-level chair is a real result and it is drawn from 565 minutes.

His ice went 24-24 against an expectation of 25.91-20.08.

The Physical Game

6.52 hits per 60 is the 74th percentile at 5-11 and 198 pounds, and 1.97 blocks the 63rd. 0.79 penalties drawn per 60 against 0.59 taken, fifteen penalty minutes in forty-one games.

The Intangibles

22.9 mph is the 80th percentile, 5.8 bursts per 60 the 58th, 9.71 miles per 60 the 55th. Quick without being a distance skater, and the 89.8 mph shot is the 48th percentile.

He is 30 with 550 games and has played forty-one, thirty-eight and sixty games in the last three seasons. Two hundred and ninety points across eleven years is a genuine top-nine winger, and the sixty-four of 2017-18 is the only season he has cleared fifty.

The chance share and the shot volume say the player is still there. The shooting percentage says last season was the worst forty-one games of his career and the games played say why the club is not counting on him.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 565 minutes

Expected goals: 56.3%; 91st pct
Shot attempts: 51.3%; 67th pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 24 for, 24 against. Expected: 25.9 and 20.1.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight

Report

74th

Numbers

91st

The two rank him within 17 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 66 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 41 games

Top speed: 22.9 mph; 87th pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 1.44 a game
Distance: 2.40 miles a game
Hardest shot: 89.8 mph; 64th pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2021-22 · 565 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2021-22

The club: PIT took 53.5% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 56.3% — 2.8 above the club he did it on.
The role: Second line, 565 minutes at five-on-five — 23rd percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Jeff Carter	51.5%	61.1%	48.7%
Kasperi Kapanen	57.2%	55.6%	52.4%
John Marino	56.2%	56.4%	51.0%

51.5% together, 61.1% for him apart and 48.7% for Carter apart. He was better away from Carter, who was no worse away from him — the pairing cost him more than it cost Carter.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

126 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 8 of them goals. His median goal came from 18 feet. 42% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 17% from beyond forty.