Armchair Hockey Scout

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2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

10

Colton Sissons

Nashville Predators Center

Six hundred and eighteen games, seven career shorthanded goals, and three of them last season.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2013-14NSH1713404000137.710:37
2015-16NSH34426+5120002516.09:58
2016-17NSH588210+11120114219.111:07
2017-18NSH8191827+2421041207.516:06
2018-19NSH75151530+202310311113.516:03
2019-20NSH579615-2200125217.314:20
2020-21NSH548715+2180105813.814:21
2021-22NSH7972128+230100878.116:10
2022-23NSH82121830-4200118713.815:50
2023-24NSH81152035-63833213111.516:34
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—61888112200+30219671372612.114:51

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

81 games, 15 goals and 20 assists for 35 points, 3 on the power play, 3 shorthanded, 38 penalty minutes, 16:34 a night and minus-6. He took 49.9 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 966 minutes, the 52nd percentile, and his ice went 34-37 against an expectation of 40.12-40.27.

Six goals of scoring that did not arrive and three fewer conceded than the chances called for. Three shorthanded goals in a season is a very large number and it is nearly half of his career total.

The Finesse Game

131 shots at a median of 18 feet with 52 per cent from inside 20, converted at 11.5 per cent against a career 12.12.

112 career assists in 618 games. He shoots from close in and there is no distance shot at all. Fifteen goals from a checking centre at sixteen and a half minutes is more than the job requires.

The Physical Game

He is 6-1 and 200 and wins the wall and finishes his checks.

219 career penalty minutes in 618 games is a low rate. He takes the defensive-zone draw, forechecks hard, and kills penalties with 7 career shorthanded goals in 618 games.

The Intangibles

A second-round pick in 2012 out of North Vancouver, ten seasons and 618 games, all of it for one organisation.

He is 30 and has been the third-line centre here for most of a decade. On a club that finished eighth on the penalty kill, three shorthanded goals is his season in one number.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • slot-man· shoots from where goals are scored

    67.2% of his attempts in the slot, 94th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.69) · 44% keep it

  • durable· was available

    81 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • hard-minutes· is started in his own end, against the other club's best

    37% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 7th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it

  • wins-the-walla strength· the corners and below the goal line

    “He is 6-1 and 200 and wins the wall and finishes his checks.”

  • faceoffsa strength· takes the draw that starts it

    “He takes the defensive-zone draw, forechecks hard, and kills penalties with 7 career shorthanded goals in 618 games.”

  • forechecks-aggressivelya strength· first man in, and on the puck

    “He takes the defensive-zone draw, forechecks hard, and kills penalties with 7 career shorthanded goals in 618 games.”

  • penalty-killera strength· trusted a man short

    “He takes the defensive-zone draw, forechecks hard, and kills penalties with 7 career shorthanded goals in 618 games.”

  • net-fronta strength· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips

    “He shoots from close in and there is no distance shot at all.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 966 minutes

Expected goals
49.9%
52nd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
49.1%
48th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 34 for, 37 against. Expected: 40.1 and 40.3.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
47th
Numbers
52nd

The two rank him within 5 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 69 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 81 games

Top speed
22.3 mph
57th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.1

Bursts over 20 mph
1.07 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.63 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
90.1 mph
72nd pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.5

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 966 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
NSH took 52.5% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 49.9% — 2.6 below the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 966 minutes at five-on-five — 54th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Yakov Trenin48.5%51.3%54.1%
Roman Josi51.1%49.1%55.3%
Ryan McDonagh49.8%49.9%57.0%

48.5% together, 51.3% for him apart and 54.1% for Trenin apart. Trenin was better away from him while his own share held, which is a mark against him more than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

204 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 15 of them goals. His median goal came from 15 feet. 53% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 14% from beyond forty.