Joshua Roy
Montreal Canadiens Right Wing
Twenty-three games at 20, and the best chance share on the roster while he was out there.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-24 | MTL | 23 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 11.8 | 12:08 |
| 2024-25 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 23 | 4 | 5 | 9 | -2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 11.8 | 12:08 |
This Season So Far
The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
23 games, 4 goals and 5 assists for 9 points, no penalty minutes, 12:08 a night and minus-2. He took 53.0 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 257 minutes, the 75th percentile, and his ice went 12-13 against an expectation of 12.11-10.74.
Level at one end and two more conceded than the chances called for at the other. That 53.0 per cent is the best chance share of anybody on this roster and it came in 257 minutes, which is not enough to mean anything yet.
The Finesse Game
62 attempts at a median of 24 feet with 42 per cent from inside 20, converted at 11.8 per cent.
Five assists in 23 games. He was a scorer in junior and what has arrived first at this level is the passing and the reading. He finds a seam early and puts the puck into it, and the feet are the part that will decide whether he plays.
The Physical Game
He is 6-0 and 192 and does not play a physical game at all.
No penalty minutes in twenty-three games. He does not forecheck by force and does not win the wall, and at this size that will have to change or the ice will not.
The Intangibles
A fifth-round pick in 2021 out of Saint-Georges, Quebec, one season, and 9 points in 23 games at 20.
He is 21 and a fifth-round pick who has already played twenty-three games. On the second-youngest roster in this edition he is somewhere between the sixth and the tenth forward the club is waiting on.
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 257 minutes
- Expected goals
- 53%
- 76th pct
- Shot attempts
- 50%
- 55th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 12 for, 13 against. Expected: 12.1 and 10.7.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe two rank him within 18 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.
Both bars are percentiles among the 379 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 67 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Usual linemates
2023-24 · 257 minutes at five-on-five
- Joel Armia75%
- Alex Newhook64%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2023-24
- The club
- MTL took 46.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 53.0% — 6.9 above the club he did it on.
- The role
- Third line, 257 minutes at five-on-five — 4th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Newhook | 52.0% | 54.9% | 45.3% |
| Kaiden Guhle | 45.5% | 56.8% | 45.0% |
| Mike Matheson | 48.5% | 55.1% | 44.2% |
52.0% together, 54.9% for him apart and 45.3% for Newhook apart. Newhook was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Newhook than for him.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
62 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 4 of them goals. His median goal came from 40 feet. 42% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 16% from beyond forty.