Joshua Roy

Twenty-three games at 20, and the best chance share on the roster while he was out there.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI
2023-24	MTL	23	4	5	9	-2	0	0	0	0	34	11.8	12:08
2024-25 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	23	4	5	9	-2	0	0	0	0	34	11.8	12:08

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

23 games, 4 goals and 5 assists for 9 points, no penalty minutes, 12:08 a night and minus-2. He took 53.0 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 257 minutes, the 75th percentile, and his ice went 12-13 against an expectation of 12.11-10.74.

Level at one end and two more conceded than the chances called for at the other. That 53.0 per cent is the best chance share of anybody on this roster and it came in 257 minutes, which is not enough to mean anything yet.

The Finesse Game

62 attempts at a median of 24 feet with 42 per cent from inside 20, converted at 11.8 per cent.

Five assists in 23 games. He was a scorer in junior and what has arrived first at this level is the passing and the reading. He finds a seam early and puts the puck into it, and the feet are the part that will decide whether he plays.

The Physical Game

He is 6-0 and 192 and does not play a physical game at all.

No penalty minutes in twenty-three games. He does not forecheck by force and does not win the wall, and at this size that will have to change or the ice will not.

The Intangibles

A fifth-round pick in 2021 out of Saint-Georges, Quebec, one season, and 9 points in 23 games at 20.

He is 21 and a fifth-round pick who has already played twenty-three games. On the second-youngest roster in this edition he is somewhere between the sixth and the tenth forward the club is waiting on.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

playmakera strength· passes up the shot a scorer takes
“He finds a seam early and puts the puck into it, and the feet are the part that will decide whether he plays.”
forechecks-aggressivelyhe lacks it· first man in, and on the puck
“He does not forecheck by force and does not win the wall, and at this size that will have to change or the ice will not.”
wins-the-wallhe lacks it· the corners and below the goal line
“He does not forecheck by force and does not win the wall, and at this size that will have to change or the ice will not.”
punishinghe lacks it· finishes checks; hurts people legally
“He is 6-0 and 192 and does not play a physical game at all.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 257 minutes

Expected goals: 53%; 76th pct
Shot attempts: 50%; 55th pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 12 for, 13 against. Expected: 12.1 and 10.7.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight

Report

39th

Numbers

76th

The numbers rank him 37 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 67 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 23 games

Top speed: 20.5 mph; 6th pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 0.26 a game
Distance: 1.96 miles a game
Hardest shot: 82.5 mph; 27th pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 257 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club: MTL took 46.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 53.0% — 6.9 above the club he did it on.
The role: Third line, 257 minutes at five-on-five — 4th percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Alex Newhook	52.0%	54.9%	45.3%
Kaiden Guhle	45.5%	56.8%	45.0%
Mike Matheson	48.5%	55.1%	44.2%

52.0% together, 54.9% for him apart and 45.3% for Newhook apart. Newhook was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Newhook than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

62 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 4 of them goals. His median goal came from 40 feet. 42% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 16% from beyond forty.