This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Kaiden Guhle
Montreal Canadiens Defense
Twenty minutes and fifty-one seconds a night at 22, and 114 games before his twenty-third birthday.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-23 | MTL | 44 | 4 | 14 | 18 | -19 | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 48 | 8.3 | 20:31 |
| 2023-24 | MTL | 70 | 6 | 16 | 22 | -8 | 56 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 95 | 6.3 | 20:51 |
| 2024-25 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 114 | 10 | 30 | 40 | -27 | 83 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 143 | 7.0 | 20:43 |
This Season So Far
The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
70 games, 6 goals and 16 assists for 22 points, 56 penalty minutes, 20:51 a night and minus-8. He took 45.0 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,264 minutes, the 21st percentile, and his ice went 49-59 against an expectation of 47.79-58.30.
One goal of finishing above what the chances were worth and one more conceded than they called for — almost exactly the season the play deserved, which on this club made it a minus-8.
The Finesse Game
126 attempts at a median of 45 feet with 60 per cent from beyond 40, 95 of them on goal, converted at 6.3 per cent.
30 career assists in 114 games. The first pass is good and getting better and there is no power-play role yet. He skates well enough to recover from a bad read, which at 22 on twenty-one minutes a night is required equipment.
The Physical Game
He is 6-3 and 202 and finishes his checks hard.
56 penalty minutes in 70 games at twenty-one a night is a real rate for a young defenceman. He clears the crease, blocks shots, kills penalties, and will fight when it is asked of him.
The Intangibles
Sixteenth overall in 2020 out of Edmonton, two seasons, and 40 points in 114 games, all of it for one organisation.
He is 22 and has already played 114 games at top-four minutes. The chance share is bad and it is bad for everybody on this roster; what matters is that he is 22 and taking the assignment.
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,264 minutes
- Expected goals
- 45%
- 21st pct
- Shot attempts
- 45%
- 17th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 49 for, 59 against. Expected: 47.8 and 58.3.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe report ranks him 59 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 415 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 72 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Usual linemates
2023-24 · 1264 minutes at five-on-five
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2023-24
- The club
- MTL took 46.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 45.0% — 1.1 below the club he did it on.
- The role
- First pair, 1,264 minutes at five-on-five — 87th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Matheson | 42.9% | 46.3% | 45.2% |
| Nick Suzuki | 49.4% | 42.7% | 50.2% |
| Juraj Slafkovsky | 46.3% | 44.3% | 50.0% |
42.9% together, 46.3% for him apart and 45.2% for Matheson apart. He was better away from Matheson, who was no worse away from him — the pairing cost him more than it cost Matheson.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
126 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 6 of them goals. His median goal came from 30 feet. 10% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 60% from beyond forty.