Armchair Hockey Scout

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2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

10

Jonathan Huberdeau

Calgary Flames Left Wing

Four hundred and ninety-five career assists, and twelve goals on a hundred and forty-three shots.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2012-13FLA48141731-151820111212.516:56
2013-14FLA6991928-5372011088.315:40
2014-15FLA79153954+10380001698.916:45
2015-16FLA76203959+174341217411.518:09
2016-17FLA31101626-2133028611.617:55
2017-18FLA82274269-23270420413.219:12
2018-19FLA82306292-1440110522613.318:51
2019-20FLA69235578+53050315215.118:46
2020-21FLA55204161+123650112216.418:25
2021-22FLA803085115+355453722213.519:25
2022-23CGY79154055+23640112611.916:52
2023-24CGY81124052-29494021438.417:25
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—831225495720+1442652429184412.217:54

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

12 goals and 40 assists in 81 games — 52 points at 17:25 a night, minus-29, with 4 power-play goals and 2 game-winners on 143 shots at 8.39 per cent, and 49 penalty minutes.

Forty assists is the largest source of distribution on the club and twelve goals is the fewest he has scored in a full season since he was nineteen.

50.2 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,120 minutes, the 55th percentile — a good share, and the minus-29 belongs to the crease behind him.

The Finesse Game

143 attempts at a median of 23 feet, with 42 per cent from inside 20 and 17 per cent from beyond 40, converting at 8.39 per cent against a career 12.20 across 1,844 shots.

The passing is the player and it is still there. He holds the puck below the goal line and waits for the seam rather than forcing it, and 495 career assists in 831 games is a distributor’s record of the first order.

The shot has gone. Twelve goals on 143 attempts from a man who scored 30 twice in Florida is the whole of the disappointment, and it is a shooting rate rather than a chance problem.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 200. He does not forecheck with force, he does not win pucks on the wall, and he plays away from contact by design.

49 penalty minutes in 81 games and 426 in 831 for his career is a moderate rate for a player who does not hit anybody.

The Intangibles

Third overall in 2011 by Florida, and 831 games and 720 points at 31, including a 115-point season two years before he arrived here.

He signed an eight-year contract on the day he was traded and has not been the same player since. Fifty-two points and the sixty-first percentile of chances is a good second-line winger, and it is a long way from what the contract assumed — which is now the largest single problem on this club’s books.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    81 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • sheltered· is started in the attacking end

    62% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 94th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 47% keep it

  • playmakera strength· passes up the shot a scorer takes

    “**The passing is the player and it is still there.** **He holds the puck below the goal line and waits for the seam rather than forcing it**, and **495 career assists in 831 games** is a distributor's record of the first order.”

  • forechecks-aggressivelyhe lacks it· first man in, and on the puck

    “**He does not forecheck with force, he does not win pucks on the wall, and he plays away from contact by design.**”

  • wins-the-wallhe lacks it· the corners and below the goal line

    “**He does not forecheck with force, he does not win pucks on the wall, and he plays away from contact by design.**”

  • punishinghe lacks it· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “**He does not forecheck with force, he does not win pucks on the wall, and he plays away from contact by design.**”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,120 minutes

Expected goals
50.2%
55th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
52.6%
76th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 41 for, 51 against. Expected: 49.7 and 49.3.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
24th
Numbers
55th

The numbers rank him 31 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 63 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 81 games

Top speed
21.9 mph
38th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.1

Bursts over 20 mph
0.54 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.72 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
88.2 mph
59th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.5

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 1120 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
CGY took 49.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 50.2% — 0.3 above the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 1,120 minutes at five-on-five — 75th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
MacKenzie Weegar53.2%48.0%49.3%
Rasmus Andersson48.3%51.5%48.7%
Yegor Sharangovich49.3%50.7%48.9%

53.2% together, 48.0% for him apart and 49.3% for Weegar apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

212 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 12 of them goals. His median goal came from 15 feet. 42% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 17% from beyond forty.