This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

MacKenzie Weegar

Two hundred and sixth overall, twenty goals from the blue line, and 22:56 a night.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2016-17	FLA	3	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	0	3	0.0	17:27
2017-18	FLA	60	2	6	8	+5	32	0	0	0	58	3.5	14:34
2018-19	FLA	64	4	11	15	-3	64	0	0	2	79	5.1	16:58
2019-20	FLA	45	7	11	18	+6	33	0	0	1	77	9.1	20:07
2020-21	FLA	54	6	30	36	+29	45	0	0	1	101	5.9	22:07
2021-22	FLA	80	8	36	44	+40	81	1	1	2	203	3.9	23:22
2022-23	CGY	81	4	27	31	+15	43	0	0	1	160	2.5	21:06
2023-24	CGY	82	20	32	52	+2	51	3	0	2	208	9.6	22:56
2024-25 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	469	51	153	204	+94	353	4	1	9	889	5.7	20:24

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

20 goals and 32 assists in all 82 games — 52 points at 22:56 a night, plus-2, with 3 power-play goals and 2 game-winners on 208 shots, converting at 9.62 per cent, and 51 penalty minutes.

Twenty goals from a defenceman is a rare number and it came on 208 attempts, which is the second-largest volume on the roster.

50.6 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,502 minutes, the 57th percentile — the most five-on-five ice on the club. His ice went 65-68 against an expectation of 63.84-62.42 — six goals conceded above expectation, which on a club whose goaltending was 27th is the goaltending.

The Finesse Game

208 attempts at a median of 51 feet, with 76 per cent from beyond 40 and 6 per cent from inside 20, converting at 9.62 per cent — an extraordinarily high rate from that distance and the whole explanation for twenty goals.

He carries the puck out of his own zone rather than passing it out, and the skating is what makes 22:56 a night possible against the other side’s best. He walks the line and holds the puck until a forechecker commits.

32 assists and 153 in 469 career games.

The Physical Game

6-0 and 206. He defends with position and gap control rather than force, and he does not clear the front of his own net against a heavy forward.

51 penalty minutes in 82 games and 353 in 469 for his career is a moderate rate. He finishes checks without going looking for anybody, and he does not retaliate.

The Intangibles

Two hundred and sixth overall in 2013 — a seventh-round pick — out of Halifax, and 469 games, 204 points and a career plus-94 across two clubs, with a Stanley Cup final behind him.

He is 30. A seventh-round pick who plays 22:56 a night and scores twenty goals from the blue line is one of the two or three best draft outcomes on any roster in this edition, and on a club that has just traded two of its top four defencemen he is now carrying almost all of it.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

hard-shot· beats a goaltender from range
9 of 213 attempts from 40 feet or beyond, 4.2%, 90th percentile among defencemen
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.21) · 16% keep it
durable· was available
82 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it
transitiona strength· carries it out; gains the line under control
“**He carries the puck out of his own zone rather than passing it out**, and the skating is what makes 22:56 a night possible against the other side's best.”
playmakera strength· passes up the shot a scorer takes
“**He walks the line and holds the puck until a forechecker commits.**”
clears-the-creasehe lacks it· moves grown men off the front of his net
“**He defends with position and gap control rather than force**, and he does not clear the front of his own net against a heavy forward.”
punishinghe lacks it· finishes checks; hurts people legally
“**He defends with position and gap control rather than force**, and he does not clear the front of his own net against a heavy forward.”
retaliateshe lacks it· answers the cross-check, and takes the second penalty
“He finishes checks without going looking for anybody, and he does not retaliate.”
leadershipa strength· the room, and who holds it
“**A seventh-round pick who plays 22:56 a night and scores twenty goals from the blue line is one of the two or three best draft outcomes on any roster in this edition**, and on a club that has just traded two of its top four defencemen he is now carrying almost all of it.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,502 minutes

Expected goals: 50.6%; 58th pct
Shot attempts: 53.7%; 83rd pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 65 for, 68 against. Expected: 63.8 and 62.4.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight

Report

80th

Numbers

58th

The report ranks him 22 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 76 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 82 games

Top speed: 23.6 mph; 99th pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 0.52 a game
Distance: 3.29 miles a game
Hardest shot: 94.0 mph; 65th pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 1502 minutes at five-on-five

Rasmus Andersson52%
Daniil Miromanov20%

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club: CGY took 49.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 50.6% — 0.7 above the club he did it on.
The role: First pair, 1,502 minutes at five-on-five — 97th percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Rasmus Andersson	49.0%	52.4%	48.1%
Mikael Backlund	52.7%	49.5%	50.3%
Jonathan Huberdeau	53.2%	49.3%	48.0%

49.0% together, 52.4% for him apart and 48.1% for Andersson apart. He was better away from Andersson, who was no worse away from him — the pairing cost him more than it cost Andersson.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

279 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 20 of them goals. His median goal came from 40 feet. 6% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 76% from beyond forty.