Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

52

MacKenzie Weegar

Calgary Flames Defense

Two hundred and sixth overall, twenty goals from the blue line, and 22:56 a night.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2016-17FLA30000400030.017:27
2017-18FLA60268+532000583.514:34
2018-19FLA6441115-364002795.116:58
2019-20FLA4571118+633001779.120:07
2020-21FLA5463036+29450011015.922:07
2021-22FLA8083644+40811122033.923:22
2022-23CGY8142731+15430011602.521:06
2023-24CGY82203252+2513022089.622:56
2024-25 so far
Career46951153204+943534198895.720:24

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

20 goals and 32 assists in all 82 games — 52 points at 22:56 a night, plus-2, with 3 power-play goals and 2 game-winners on 208 shots, converting at 9.62 per cent, and 51 penalty minutes.

Twenty goals from a defenceman is a rare number and it came on 208 attempts, which is the second-largest volume on the roster.

50.3 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,502 minutes, the 54th percentile — the most five-on-five ice on the club. His ice went 56-71 against an expectation of 62.88-62.25 — nine goals conceded above expectation, which on a club whose goaltending was 27th is the goaltending.

The Finesse Game

208 attempts at a median of 51 feet, with 76 per cent from beyond 40 and 6 per cent from inside 20, converting at 9.62 per cent — an extraordinarily high rate from that distance and the whole explanation for twenty goals.

He carries the puck out of his own zone rather than passing it out, and the skating is what makes 22:56 a night possible against the other side’s best. He walks the line and holds the puck until a forechecker commits.

32 assists and 153 in 469 career games.

The Physical Game

6-0 and 206. He defends with position and gap control rather than force, and he does not clear the front of his own net against a heavy forward.

51 penalty minutes in 82 games and 353 in 469 for his career is a moderate rate. He finishes checks without going looking for anybody, and he does not retaliate.

The Intangibles

Two hundred and sixth overall in 2013 — a seventh-round pick — out of Halifax, and 469 games, 204 points and a career plus-94 across two clubs, with a Stanley Cup final behind him.

He is 30. A seventh-round pick who plays 22:56 a night and scores twenty goals from the blue line is one of the two or three best draft outcomes on any roster in this edition, and on a club that has just traded two of its top four defencemen he is now carrying almost all of it.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,502 minutes

Expected goals
50.3%
55th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
53.6%
83rd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 56 for, 71 against. Expected: 62.9 and 62.3.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
93rd
Numbers
55th

The report ranks him 38 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 201 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 76 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 1502 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
CGY took 49.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 50.3% — 0.4 above the club he did it on.
The role
First pair, 1,502 minutes at five-on-five — 97th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Rasmus Andersson48.8%51.9%48.1%
Mikael Backlund52.4%49.2%50.8%
Jonathan Huberdeau52.6%49.1%50.1%

48.8% together, 51.9% for him apart and 48.1% for Andersson apart. He was better away from Andersson, who was no worse away from him — the pairing cost him more than it cost Andersson.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

279 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 20 of them goals. His median goal came from 40 feet. 6% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 76% from beyond forty.