Armchair Hockey Scout

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2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

7

Jordan Eberle

Seattle Kraken Right Wing

One goal short of three hundred, with the best chance share on the club at 34.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2010-11EDM69182543-122242515811.417:41
2011-12EDM78344276+410100418018.917:36
2012-13EDM48162137-41630313312.019:00
2013-14EDM80283765-111871420014.019:33
2014-15EDM81243963-162460218313.119:03
2015-16EDM69252247-121470417314.417:51
2016-17EDM82203151+3164002089.616:46
2017-18NYI81253459+52130718313.716:04
2018-19NYI78191837-61770516011.916:32
2019-20NYI58162440+11240113611.817:49
2020-21NYI55161733+91610212812.516:45
2021-22SEA79212344-281440216412.817:57
2022-23SEA82204363+63430417711.316:41
2023-24SEA78172744+11760316810.117:27
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—1018299403702-6025169346235112.717:36

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

78 games, 17 goals and 27 assists for 44 points, 6 on the power play, 17 penalty minutes, 17:27 a night and plus-1, with 3 game-winners. He took 55.1 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,098 minutes — the 88th percentile and the best chance share of anybody on the club — and his ice went 49-36 against an expectation of 49.46-40.34.

Level with the chances at the offensive end and four goals of goaltending above them at the other. Seventeen goals is his lowest total in a season of seventy games or more.

The Finesse Game

244 attempts at a median of 18 feet with 54 per cent of them from inside twenty, 169 of those on goal, converted at 10.1 per cent against a career 12.72 across 2,351 shots.

299 career goals in 1,018 games, one short of three hundred. He gets to the inside as reliably at 34 as he did at 21 — better than half his attempts came from within twenty feet, one of only two such charts on the club — and 69 career power-play goals is the most of anybody here by nineteen.

The Physical Game

He is 5-11 and 180 and took 17 penalty minutes.

251 career penalty minutes in 1,018 games. He is a small winger who works in the paint without ever fighting for it; he finds the seam behind a defenceman rather than going through one, and fourteen seasons of that have cost him very little.

The Intangibles

Twenty-second overall in 2008 by Edmonton, fourteen seasons, three organisations, and 702 points in 1,018 games.

A career minus-60 across fourteen seasons on clubs that mostly missed. He is one goal from three hundred and still took the best chance share on his club at 34, which is the argument for a fifteenth season.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    78 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • drives-play· the shot clock turns his way while he is out there

    55.1% of the expected goals at five-on-five with him on, 49.0% for his club in the minutes he sat: +6.1, 91st percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats moderately (0.39) · 29% keep it

  • net-fronta strength· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips

    “He gets to the inside as reliably at 34 as he did at 21 — better than half his attempts came from within twenty feet, one of only two such charts on the club — and 69 career power-play goals is the most of anybody here by nineteen.”

  • punishinghe lacks it· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “He is a small winger who works in the paint without ever fighting for it; he finds the seam behind a defenceman rather than going through one, and fourteen seasons of that have cost him very little.”

  • leadershipa strength· the room, and who holds it

    “He is one goal from three hundred and still took the best chance share on his club at 34, which is the argument for a fifteenth season.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,098 minutes

Expected goals
55.1%
88th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
54.1%
86th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 49 for, 36 against. Expected: 49.5 and 40.3.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
67th
Numbers
88th

The numbers rank him 21 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 73 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 78 games

Top speed
22.4 mph
61st pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.1

Bursts over 20 mph
1.00 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.80 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
87.0 mph
51st pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.5

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 1098 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
SEA took 50.8% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 55.1% — 4.3 above the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 1,098 minutes at five-on-five — 72nd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Matty Beniers55.1%55.0%42.5%
Jared McCann55.5%54.8%47.2%
Adam Larsson51.3%57.5%47.2%

55.1% together, 55.0% for him apart and 42.5% for Beniers apart. Beniers was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Beniers than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

244 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 18 of them goals. His median goal came from 13 feet. 54% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 15% from beyond forty.