Armchair Hockey Scout

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2022-23 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2022-23 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2025-26 report →

90

Marcus Johansson

Washington Capitals Left Wing

Four penalty minutes in sixty-nine games: the 6th-fewest penalties taken per 60 of 393 forwards.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2010-11WSH69131427+21021210212.814:43
2011-12WSH80143246-581039015.616:48
2012-13WSH3461622+343014015.016:35
2013-14WSH8083644-2146011077.517:32
2014-15WSH82202747+61030113814.516:29
2015-16WSH74172946+121660713212.916:38
2016-17WSH82243458+251050512918.617:00
2017-18NJD295914-11141004211.915:59
2018-19NJD/BOS58131730-16820111511.315:56
2019-20BUF6092130-12201018710.317:09
2020-21MIN366814-1042034613.015:56
2021-22SEA/WSH6992029-2643021118.116:08
2022-23 so far—————————————
Career—753144263407-5311235127113912.616:28

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

69 games for Seattle and Washington, 9 goals and 20 assists at 16:08 a night, minus-26, four penalty minutes, 111 shots, three power-play goals and two game-winners. Twenty-fourth overall in 2009 by Washington, twelve seasons, 753 games, 407 points.

The Finesse Game

Nine goals from 111 shots is 8.1 per cent, the 21st percentile, off 5.98 shots per 60 at the 25th, from a 21-foot median with fifty-eight per cent of his attempts from inside twenty feet.

1.21 even-strength points per 60 is the 16th percentile and thirty-four per cent of his points came on the power play, off 2:29 a night at the 72nd. A 29-point season with a third of it on the unit is a fourth-line rate arriving in a third-line chair.

50.4 per cent of the expected goals is the 56th percentile and 50.5 per cent of the attempts the 56th, both a shade the right side of even, out of 52.2 per cent offensive-zone starts.

And the minus-26 does not come out of those shares. His ice went 33-44 against an expectation of 33.48-33. Level in front and eleven more against than the model asked, which is the largest defensive shortfall on this roster and the reason the plus-minus reads as it does. Seattle rated 31st in the league in goaltending at minus-36.0.

The Physical Game

0.108 penalties taken per 60 is the 6th-fewest of the 393 forwards who played forty games, and four penalty minutes came out of sixty-nine of them.

1.67 hits per 60 is the 15th percentile and 1.40 blocks the 36th, at 6-1 and 203 pounds, and 112 penalty minutes across 753 career games.

0.54 penalties drawn per 60 against 0.11 taken is a net of plus 0.43, the 82nd percentile.

The Intangibles

22.3 mph is the 40th percentile among the 365 tracked forwards, 7.1 bursts over twenty miles an hour per 60 the 70th and 10.02 miles per 60 the 81st. A lot of ground covered at ordinary pace.

He is 32, twenty-fourth overall in 2009, with 407 points in 753 games and a career minus-53, returning to the club that drafted him for the third time. The mileage, the discipline and level possession shares are three real things. A 16th-percentile even-strength point rate and eleven goals of defensive shortfall are why a twelve-year veteran keeps changing clubs.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • ordinaryraised, and called ordinary

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • disciplined· stays out of the box

    0.06 penalty minutes a game over 69, 1st percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.75) · 35% keep it

  • defensively-responsiblepresent and ordinary· comes back; can be trusted with a lead

    “0.108 penalties taken per 60 is the 6th-fewest of the 393 forwards who played forty games, and four penalty minutes came out of sixty-nine of them.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 927 minutes

Expected goals
50.4%
59th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
50.5%
60th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 33 for, 44 against. Expected: 33.5 and 33.0.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
43rd
Numbers
59th

The two rank him within 16 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 59 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 69 games

Top speed
22.3 mph
57th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0

Bursts over 20 mph
1.91 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.69 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
91.6 mph
75th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.1

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2021-22 with SEA · 675 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2021-22

The club
WSH took 51.1% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 50.4% — 0.7 below the club he did it on.
The role
927 minutes at five-on-five — 53rd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Jordan Eberle51.6%49.7%49.0%
Alex Wennberg45.9%52.3%49.8%
Jared McCann55.6%48.2%49.2%

51.6% together, 49.7% for him apart and 49.0% for Eberle apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

143 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 10 of them goals. His median goal came from 12 feet. 47% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 17% from beyond forty.