Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

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4

Braden Schneider

New York Rangers Defense

80 games at 17:52 in his fourth season, 71 per cent of his shots from beyond 40 feet, and the offence has not arrived.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2021-22NYR432911+59000258.015:29
2022-23NYR8151318+916001796.315:43
2023-24NYR8251419-116011955.315:54
2024-25NYR8061521+918011956.317:52
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—286185169+22590232946.116:20

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

6 goals and 15 assists in 80 games — 21 points, plus-9, at 17:52 a night on 18 penalty minutes.

46.3 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 16th percentile, across 1,221 minutes. The on-ice goals were 49-46 against an expectation of 47.67-55.25, which is a pair outchanced by nine goals over a full season and finishing even.

The Finesse Game

The skating is the asset — he is genuinely quick for 206 pounds and can carry the puck out of trouble when the first option is covered.

Everything after that is unfinished. 71 per cent of his attempts came from beyond 40 feet and 10 per cent from inside 20, so the point shot is the offence and it does not get through traffic often enough to matter. 21 points is the most he has managed in four seasons, and the shape of the year says the ceiling is a defensive third pair rather than a second-pair man who chips in.

The Physical Game

6-3 and 206, and he hits hard and often — the open-ice contact is the most visible thing he does and he has hurt people with it legally.

18 penalty minutes in 80 games is a remarkably low number for a defenceman who plays this way. He does not retaliate and he does not take the stick foul when he is beaten; he simply keeps skating, which is the most encouraging habit in the report.

The Intangibles

A first-round pick in 2020, four full NHL seasons before his 24th birthday, and 286 games already played.

The age is the argument for patience and the flat production line is the argument against it. He is what he is going to be physically; whether the puck game ever arrives is the whole question, and there is now a great deal of money in front of him on this blue line.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    80 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • hard-minutes· is started in his own end, against the other club's best

    38% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 7th percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it

  • punishinga strength· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “he hits hard and often — the open-ice contact is the most visible thing he does and he has hurt people with it legally.”

  • retaliateshe lacks it· answers the cross-check, and takes the second penalty

    “He does not retaliate and he does not take the stick foul when he is beaten; he simply keeps skating, which is the most encouraging habit in the report.”

  • fouls-when-beatenhe lacks it· the stick foul that follows losing a step

    “He does not retaliate and he does not take the stick foul when he is beaten; he simply keeps skating, which is the most encouraging habit in the report.”

  • transitiona strength· carries it out; gains the line under control

    “he is genuinely quick for 206 pounds and can carry the puck out of trouble when the first option is covered.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,221 minutes

Expected goals
46.3%
22nd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
45.5%
15th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 49 for, 46 against. Expected: 47.7 and 55.3.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
17th
Numbers
22nd

The two rank him within 5 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 66 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 80 games

Top speed
22.9 mph
91st pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.6

Bursts over 20 mph
0.76 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.50 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
90.2 mph
44th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 89.7

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1221 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
NYR took 47.7% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 46.3% — 1.4 below the club he did it on.
The role
Third pair, 1,221 minutes at five-on-five — 86th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Urho Vaakanainen47.8%45.5%43.6%
Alexis Lafrenière50.7%44.5%48.7%
Vincent Trocheck52.4%44.0%46.9%

47.8% together, 45.5% for him apart and 43.6% for Vaakanainen apart. Vaakanainen was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Vaakanainen than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

139 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 6 of them goals. His median goal came from 31 feet. 10% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 71% from beyond forty.