Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

10

Sam Carrick

New York Rangers Center

58 penalty minutes on a fourth line, the 10th percentile in chance share, and an on-ice record twenty goals better than it.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2014-15TOR16112+19000175.96:29
2015-16TOR3000-2400040.011:28
2018-19ANA6011-1200050.010:13
2019-20ANA9112-30010166.313:46
2020-21ANA13246+428000238.712:55
2021-22ANA6411819-12850008013.811:28
2022-23ANA52347-1786000506.010:34
2023-24ANA/EDM7710616-111021209210.912:14
2024-25NYR8061420+558012847.111:56
2025-26 so far
Career320343973-363741423719.211:28

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

6 goals and 14 assists in 80 games — 20 points, plus-5, at 11:56 a night with 58 penalty minutes.

44.1 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 10th percentile, across 833 minutes. The on-ice goals were 49-37 against an expectation of 28.94-36.7, which is twenty goals of surplus at one end and is the least repeatable number in this chapter.

The Finesse Game

There is not much and it is not the job. 84 attempts with 45 per cent of them from inside 20 feet at a median of 23 feet is a fourth-line centre going to the net, and 6 goals at 7.1 per cent is what that returns.

73 points in 320 career games is the rate. He wins a draw, he chips it out, and the puck does not stay on his stick long enough for anything else to happen.

The Physical Game

6-0 and 202 and he plays every shift like it is his last one. He forechecks hard, he finishes checks, and he will fight — 374 penalty minutes in 320 games is a genuine fourth-line total in a league that mostly stopped producing them.

He is also the man who answers for a teammate, which is a real job on a roster this small at the top of the lineup.

The Intangibles

A fifth-round pick who played 47 NHL games in his first eight seasons as a professional and has now played 320.

He is 33, he takes defensive-zone draws, he kills penalties, and he costs nothing. The 10th-percentile chance share is what a fourth line starting in its own end produces, and the club would be worse without him even so.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 833 minutes

Expected goals
44.1%
11th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
45.1%
12th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 49 for, 37 against. Expected: 28.9 and 36.7.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
10th
Numbers
11th

The two rank him within 1 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 496 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 63 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 833 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
NYR took 47.7% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 44.1% — 3.6 below the club he did it on.
The role
Fourth line, 833 minutes at five-on-five — 39th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Adam Edstrom45.4%42.9%
Braden Schneider43.3%44.6%46.4%
Jimmy Vesey48.1%42.3%42.2%

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

112 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 6 of them goals. His median goal came from 12 feet. 45% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 28% from beyond forty.