Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Jonathan Marchessault

Photo by Michael Miller, CC BY-SA 4.0

Jonathan Marchessault

Nashville Predators Center #81

5-9, 574 points, and the 9th percentile.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2012-13CBJ2000-100000—10:57
2014-15TBL2101+10000333.311:57
2015-16TBL4571118-1017401818.612:05
2016-17FLA75302151-213880619315.516:55
2017-18VGK77274875+364060626810.117:30
2018-19VGK82253459+2525062789.018:09
2019-20VGK66222547+6286032359.417:17
2020-21VGK55182644+193930417610.217:25
2021-22VGK76303666+33650425111.917:34
2022-23VGK76282957+22190423412.017:08
2023-24VGK82422769-24080526615.817:54
2024-25NSH78213556-293740420610.217:59
2025-26NSH62121931-18304011329.116:42
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—778263311574-1237862044232311.317:08

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

12 goals and 19 assists in 62 games — 31 points, minus-18, at 16:42 a night.

The Finesse Game

The shot was always the trade and it has stopped landing. 200 unblocked attempts, 12 goals, median 27 feet with 39 per cent from inside 20 — the ice is fine, the finishing is gone.

263 goals in 778 career games says what he was. 19 assists in 62 games is the lowest full-season rate of his career.

The Physical Game

5-9 and 185 pounds, undrafted, and he has spent 13 seasons being told he is too small while scoring. 30 penalty minutes.

He cannot win a wall battle and never could; the whole game is anticipation and a quick release.

The Intangibles

The numbers are among the worst on the club: 43.1 per cent of the expected goals, 8th percentile, with the chances 31.2 to 41.1 against across 812 minutes.

7 points in his last 10, one of them a goal.

He is 35, a Conn Smythe winner 2 years ago in Vegas, and undrafted out of the Quebec league — one of the best small-player stories of the era. This is the first season where the results have stopped arguing for him, and at his size that decline tends to come quickly.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 812 minutes

Expected goals
43.1%
8th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
45.8%
18th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 32 for, 40 against. Expected: 31.2 and 41.1.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
49th
Numbers
8th

The report ranks him 41 points above where the numbers do. It was written with these numbers on screen and departs from them anyway, which makes the gap a judgment rather than an oversight. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 72 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 62 games

Top speed
21.1 mph
11th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
0.32 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.68 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
89.6 mph
81st pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.6

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

7

points in his last 10 games — 1 goals, 6 assists, 19 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 812 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
NSH took 47.8% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 43.1% — 4.7 below the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 812 minutes at five-on-five — 39th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Erik Haula40.2%45.4%49.2%
Filip Forsberg40.5%44.7%51.5%
Roman Josi45.2%42.0%49.0%

40.2% together, 45.4% for him apart and 49.2% for Haula apart. Both were better apart than together — the pairing was doing neither of them any favours.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

200 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 12 of them goals. His median goal came from 15 feet. 40% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 23% from beyond forty.