Armchair Scout
Jonathan Marchessault

Photo by Michael Miller, CC BY-SA 4.0

Jonathan Marchessault

Nashville Predators Center #81

Five foot nine, five hundred and seventy-four points, and the ninth percentile.

SeasonGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2025-2662121931-18304011329.116:42
Career778263311574-1237862044232311.317:08

Last Season

Twelve goals and 19 assists in 62 games — 31 points, minus-18, at 16:42 a night.

The Finesse Game

The shot was always the trade and it has stopped landing. Two hundred unblocked attempts, twelve goals, median 27 feet with 39 per cent from inside twenty — the ice is fine, the finishing is gone.

Two hundred and sixty-three goals in 778 career games says what he was. Nineteen assists in 62 games is the lowest full-season rate of his career.

The Physical Game

Five foot nine and 185 pounds, undrafted, and he has spent thirteen seasons being told he is too small while scoring. Thirty penalty minutes.

He cannot win a wall battle and never could; the whole game is anticipation and a quick release.

The Intangibles

The numbers are among the worst on the club: 43.9 per cent of the expected goals, ninth percentile, with the chances 31.9 to 40.8 against across 812 minutes.

Seven points in his last ten, one of them a goal.

He is 35, a Conn Smythe winner two years ago in Vegas, and undrafted out of the Quebec league — one of the best small-player stories of the era. This is the first season where the results have stopped arguing for him, and at his size that decline tends to come quickly.