This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Jonathan Marchessault
Nashville Predators Center
Undrafted, 5-9, 230 goals in 638 games, and forty-two of them last season at 33.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012-13 | CBJ | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | 10:57 |
| 2014-15 | TBL | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 33.3 | 11:57 |
| 2015-16 | TBL | 45 | 7 | 11 | 18 | -10 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 81 | 8.6 | 12:05 |
| 2016-17 | FLA | 75 | 30 | 21 | 51 | -21 | 38 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 193 | 15.5 | 16:55 |
| 2017-18 | VGK | 77 | 27 | 48 | 75 | +36 | 40 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 268 | 10.1 | 17:30 |
| 2018-19 | VGK | 82 | 25 | 34 | 59 | +2 | 52 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 278 | 9.0 | 18:09 |
| 2019-20 | VGK | 66 | 22 | 25 | 47 | +6 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 235 | 9.4 | 17:17 |
| 2020-21 | VGK | 55 | 18 | 26 | 44 | +19 | 39 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 176 | 10.2 | 17:25 |
| 2021-22 | VGK | 76 | 30 | 36 | 66 | +3 | 36 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 251 | 11.9 | 17:34 |
| 2022-23 | VGK | 76 | 28 | 29 | 57 | +2 | 21 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 234 | 12.0 | 17:08 |
| 2023-24 | VGK | 82 | 42 | 27 | 69 | -2 | 40 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 266 | 15.8 | 17:54 |
| 2024-25 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 638 | 230 | 257 | 487 | +35 | 311 | 54 | 0 | 39 | 1985 | 11.6 | 17:05 |
This Season So Far
The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
All 82 games in Vegas, 42 goals and 27 assists for 69 points, 8 on the power play, 40 penalty minutes, 17:54 a night and minus-2. He took 50.4 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,117 minutes, the 56th percentile, and his ice went 54-43 against an expectation of 48.56-47.73, all of it with the Golden Knights.
Five goals of finishing above what the chances were worth and five fewer conceded than they called for. Forty-two goals on an even chance share is a very large amount of finishing from one man.
The Finesse Game
266 shots at a median of 29 feet with 31 per cent from inside 20, converted at 15.8 per cent against a career 11.59.
257 career assists in 638 games. Forty-two goals on 266 shots is eleven above his own career rate and that gap is the risk in the signing. The release is quick and he shoots from the left circle on the power play, which is exactly where Steven Stamkos also shoots from.
The Physical Game
He is 5-9 and 185 and stays out of the corners.
311 career penalty minutes in 638 games is a moderate rate for a man this size and most of it is a stick. He does not forecheck by force, does not win the wall, and is moved off a puck by anybody who reaches him.
The Intangibles
Undrafted, out of Cap-Rouge, eleven seasons across four organisations, and 487 points in 638 games. He won the Stanley Cup in Vegas and was the Conn Smythe winner for it.
He is 33 and has scored 30 or more three times. Nashville has bought the forty-two goals; what it will get is closer to thirty, and thirty is still what this club was short of.
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,117 minutes
- Expected goals
- 50.4%
- 56th pct
- Shot attempts
- 49.2%
- 49th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 54 for, 43 against. Expected: 48.6 and 47.7.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe report ranks him 30 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 415 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 74 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Usual linemates
2023-24 with VGK · 1117 minutes at five-on-five
- Ivan Barbashev63%
- Jack Eichel48%
- Nicolas Roy19%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2023-24
- The club
- VGK took 51.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 50.4% — 0.8 below the club he did it on.
- The role
- First line, 1,117 minutes at five-on-five — 74th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ivan Barbashev | 49.7% | 52.0% | 50.2% |
| Jack Eichel | 52.4% | 48.5% | 54.4% |
| Brayden McNabb | 48.9% | 51.3% | 53.9% |
49.7% together, 52.0% for him apart and 50.2% for Barbashev apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
348 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 43 of them goals. His median goal came from 18 feet. 32% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 22% from beyond forty.