Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

10

Jonathan Huberdeau

Calgary Flames Left Wing

28 goals and 62 points on an 18.3 per cent rate, and the first season here that looked like the player who arrived.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2012-13FLA48141731-151820111212.516:56
2013-14FLA6991928-5372011088.315:40
2014-15FLA79153954+10380001698.916:45
2015-16FLA76203959+174341217411.518:09
2016-17FLA31101626-2133028611.617:55
2017-18FLA82274269-23270420413.219:12
2018-19FLA82306292-1440110522613.318:51
2019-20FLA69235578+53050315215.118:46
2020-21FLA55204161+123650112216.418:25
2021-22FLA803085115+355453722213.519:25
2022-23CGY79154055+23640112611.916:52
2023-24CGY81124052-29494021438.417:25
2024-25CGY81283462-1334103615318.319:33
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—912253529782+146062735199712.718:03

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

28 goals and 34 assists in 81 games for 62 points, minus-13, on 19:33 a night with 10 on the power play and 3 shorthanded.

49.0 per cent at five-on-five, the 45th percentile, with on-ice goals of 45-49 against an expected 44-46. 18.3 per cent shooting on 153 shots is by a distance the highest rate of his career, and 45 per cent of his attempts came from inside 20 feet.

The Finesse Game

The passing has always been the skill and it is intact — he holds pucks below the goal line, waits a beat longer than a defenceman expects, and puts it into space rather than onto a stick.

What changed last season is where he shot from. A median of 24 feet with 45 per cent of his attempts inside 20 is a considerably more direct game than the perimeter one that produced 15 goals two years ago, and 28 goals is the reward. The rate will fall; the locations may not.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 200, and he does not play a physical game. He avoids the wall, does not forecheck heavily, and is separated from possession by a determined defenceman.

34 penalty minutes over 81 games. The durability is genuinely excellent — six consecutive seasons above 75 games.

The Intangibles

A 115-point season in Florida, an enormous contract, and three years in Calgary of being the most criticised player in the league.

Last season was the first that answered any of it, and it is worth being precise about how: he did not suddenly become a scorer, he started shooting from closer. That is a coachable change and a durable one, and 62 points at 32 is a fair return even after the shooting rate corrects.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • clutch· scored his goals when the game was still live

    6 of his 28 goals late or in overtime, 97th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure barely repeats (0.06) · 10% keep it

  • durable· was available

    81 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • sheltered· is started in the attacking end

    62% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 91st percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 47% keep it

  • playmakera strength· passes up the shot a scorer takes

    “The passing has always been the skill and it is intact — he holds pucks below the goal line, waits a beat longer than a defenceman expects, and puts it into space rather than onto a stick.”

  • wins-the-wallhe lacks it· the corners and below the goal line

    “He avoids the wall, does not forecheck heavily, and is separated from possession by a determined defenceman.”

  • forechecks-aggressivelyhe lacks it· first man in, and on the puck

    “He avoids the wall, does not forecheck heavily, and is separated from possession by a determined defenceman.”

  • punishinghe lacks it· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “6-1 and 200, and he does not play a physical game.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,130 minutes

Expected goals
49%
45th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
52.3%
76th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 45 for, 49 against. Expected: 44.4 and 46.1.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
66th
Numbers
45th

The report ranks him 21 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 75 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 81 games

Top speed
22.4 mph
57th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
0.53 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
3.05 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
85.2 mph
45th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1130 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
CGY took 48.7% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 49.0% — 0.3 above the club he did it on.
The role
First line, 1,130 minutes at five-on-five — 79th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Nazem Kadri49.9%47.9%47.4%
MacKenzie Weegar51.8%47.1%50.6%
Martin Pospisil50.0%48.5%45.8%

49.9% together, 47.9% for him apart and 47.4% for Kadri apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

203 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 28 of them goals. His median goal came from 13 feet. 45% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 19% from beyond forty.