Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

22

Joel Kiviranta

Colorado Avalanche Left Wing

Undrafted, fifty-three per cent of his shots from inside twenty feet, and nine points in fifty-six games.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2019-20DAL11101-14000137.710:39
2020-21DAL266511+361003119.412:10
2021-22DAL56167-610000591.79:31
2022-23DAL70819-940010859.412:09
2023-24COL56369-112000486.39:50
2024-25 so far
Career219191837-14721102368.110:49

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

Fifty-six games, 3 goals and 6 assists, 9:50 a night and minus-1. He converted 6.25 per cent of 48 shots.

He took 47.8 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 487 minutes, the 36th percentile, and his ice went 28-23 against an expectation of 16.61-18.14. Nine points in 56 games at under ten minutes a night is a thirteenth forward’s season.

The Finesse Game

Forty-eight shots at a median of 20 feet with 53 per cent from inside 20. He goes to the net and shoots from there, and three of them went in.

Nineteen goals in 219 career games at 8.05 per cent. Eighteen career assists. There is no offensive case and there never has been one beyond a single famous playoff night.

The Physical Game

He is 5-11 and 185 and finishes his checks without drawing penalties — 12 penalty minutes in 56 games and 72 in 219 across his career.

He forechecks honestly and gets to the net front, and at that size neither is easy. He does not win the wall against defencemen.

The Intangibles

Undrafted out of Vantaa, who arrived in Dallas at 24 and scored a hat-trick in a game seven. Five seasons and 219 games later he is a fourth-line winger, and that is a career.

Colorado plays him under ten minutes a night. He does what he is asked and there is nothing else to report.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 487 minutes

Expected goals
47.8%
37th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
47.3%
29th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 28 for, 23 against. Expected: 16.6 and 18.1.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
14th
Numbers
37th

The numbers rank him 23 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 201 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 55 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 487 minutes at five-on-five

  • Andrew Coglianooff the roster46%
  • Fredrik Olofssonoff the roster44%
  • Ryan Johansenoff the roster22%

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
COL took 52.3% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 47.8% — 4.5 below the club he did it on.
The role
Fourth line, 487 minutes at five-on-five — 17th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Andrew Cogliano49.0%46.9%46.5%
Fredrik Olofsson38.9%54.3%46.4%
Jack Johnson44.9%49.9%48.5%

49.0% together, 46.9% for him apart and 46.5% for Cogliano apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

59 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 3 of them goals. His median goal came from 12 feet. 53% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 15% from beyond forty.