Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2022-23 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2022-23 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

22

Joel Kiviranta

Dallas Stars Left Wing

One goal on fifty-nine shots — the 2nd-lowest shooting percentage of the 393 qualified forwards — and 10.9 hits per 60.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2019-20DAL11101-14000137.710:39
2020-21DAL266511+361003119.412:10
2021-22DAL56167-610000591.79:31
2022-23 so far—————————————
Career—9381119-4201001037.810:23

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

1 goal and 6 assists in 56 games — 7 points, a minus-6 and 10 penalty minutes at 9:31 a night, the 4th-lowest of the 393 qualified forwards.

52.9 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 523 minutes, the 73rd percentile — the fourth-best share of any Dallas forward, and the least ice time of the four.

The Finesse Game

One goal on 59 shots is 1.7 per cent, the 2nd-lowest of the 393 qualified forwards. Only Riley Nash, who scored none, finished below him. He had six goals in twenty-six games the season before.

6.64 shots per 60 is the 37th percentile, 51 per cent from the slot at a median of 25 feet. The shots are not bad and one of them went in. At fifty-nine attempts that is a coin landing the same way, not a shooting problem, and it should be read as one season and not a skill.

0.79 even-strength points per 60 is the 11th-lowest of 393, and there is no power-play time at all — 0.01 minutes a game, the bottom of the league.

1.01 giveaways per 60 is the 17th percentile against 0.788 takeaways, the 10th-lowest of 393. He does not touch the puck much.

The Physical Game

5-11 and 185, which is small for what he does.

10.9 hits per 60 is the 34th-most of the 393 qualified forwards, at nine and a half minutes a night, from a man who is 185 pounds. 2.59 blocks is the 85th percentile. The contact is the entire case for him and it is not a marginal number.

22.5 mph is the 50th percentile and 6.2 bursts per 60 the 62nd — an ordinary skater, which for a fourth-liner this size is a limit.

0.56 penalties taken per 60 is the 39th percentile. Ten minutes in fifty-six games from a forechecker is genuinely disciplined.

The Intangibles

Undrafted, out of Finland, and 93 NHL games across three seasons at 26.

Fifty-two point nine per cent of the chances is the third-best five-on-five share on the club, behind only Jason Robertson and Roope Hintz, and it came at the bottom of the lineup. That is the number worth defending him with, and 523 minutes is enough to mean something.

A 26-year-old undrafted fourth-liner who hits at that rate and does not take penalties has a job for as long as the chance share holds. One goal will get quoted at him all year and it is the least informative figure on the page.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • ordinaryraised, and called ordinary

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • forechecks-aggressivelya strength· first man in, and on the puck

    “The contact is the entire case for him and it is not a marginal number.”

  • undraftedpresent and ordinary· arrived without a pick attached

    “Undrafted, out of Finland, and 93 NHL games across three seasons at 26.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 523 minutes

Expected goals
52.9%
76th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
50.3%
58th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 14 for, 19 against. Expected: 22.0 and 19.6.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
9th
Numbers
76th

The numbers rank him 67 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 50 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 56 games

Top speed
22.5 mph
65th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.0

Bursts over 20 mph
0.98 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
1.54 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
92.1 mph
77th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.1

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2021-22 · 523 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2021-22

The club
DAL took 51.0% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 52.9% — 1.9 above the club he did it on.
The role
Fourth line, 523 minutes at five-on-five — 21st percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Luke Glendening47.9%55.3%45.0%
Esa Lindell48.6%55.2%49.5%
John Klingberg55.2%51.5%51.0%

47.9% together, 55.3% for him apart and 45.0% for Glendening apart. He was better away from Glendening, who was no worse away from him — the pairing cost him more than it cost Glendening.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

74 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 1 of them goals. His median goal came from 33 feet. 38% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 20% from beyond forty.