Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

40

Joel Armia

Los Angeles Kings Right Wing

29 points and 3 shorthanded goals at 32, and a penalty killer signed for a unit already 5th.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2014-15BUF100000000014:47
2015-16WPG434610+212001527.712:10
2016-17WPG5710919-8200411119.015:08
2017-18WPG79121729+3220121289.412:36
2018-19MTL571310230142121349.715:48
2019-20MTL58161430+22833215510.317:14
2020-21MTL417714+1010110739.614:42
2021-22MTL606814-15141101035.813:43
2022-23MTL437714-7220106910.114:57
2023-24MTL6617825+43402313912.215:33
2024-25MTL81111829-21603110410.614:18
2025-26 so far
Career586103104207-111927171210689.614:35

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

11 goals and 18 assists in 81 games for 29 points, minus-2, on 14:18 a night with Montreal, including 3 shorthanded goals.

104 shots and 11 goals at 10.6 per cent. A third-line season on a club that made the playoffs, and the shorthanded work is the most distinctive part of it.

The Finesse Game

Better hands than a checking winger usually has and a long history of not using them enough. He protects the puck well on the wall and can make a play at moderate speed.

29 points is close to his rate across eleven seasons. The shot is decent and the volume is low, and there has never been a scoring season above 30 points.

The Physical Game

6-3 and 215, and he uses the size for possession rather than for contact. He is difficult to knock off a puck and does not initiate.

16 penalty minutes over 81 games is exceptional discipline. The durability was excellent last season after several interrupted ones.

The Intangibles

A first-round pick, three organisations, and a career as a defensively reliable third-line winger with occasional flashes of more.

At 32 the projection is 25 points and genuinely good penalty killing. Los Angeles’s kill was 5th in the league and it has added another man who can do it, which is a sensible purchase at the price.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 846 minutes

Expected goals
44.9%
14th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
46.3%
19th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 35 for, 46 against. Expected: 30.1 and 36.9.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
53rd
Numbers
14th

The report ranks him 39 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 357 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 73 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2024-25 with MTL · 846 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
MTL took 48.6% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 44.9% — 3.7 below the club he did it on.
The role
Third line, 846 minutes at five-on-five — 40th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Jake Evans45.4%43.7%51.5%
Emil Heineman47.5%42.9%48.2%
Mike Matheson41.7%46.4%48.4%

45.4% together, 43.7% for him apart and 51.5% for Evans apart. Evans was better away from him while his own share held, which is a mark against him more than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

152 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 10 of them goals. His median goal came from 23 feet. 27% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 29% from beyond forty.