Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

89

Andreas Athanasiou

Chicago Blackhawks Center

A career minus-111 in 487 games, and twenty-eight of them last season before the body gave out.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2015-16DET379514+150115317.09:01
2016-17DET64181129-72810312015.013:28
2017-18DET71161733-15161021709.415:19
2018-19DET76302454-93830421613.916:58
2019-20DET/EDM55111526-46303021298.515:51
2020-21LAK47101323-6270018511.814:57
2021-22LAK2811617+740037115.515:14
2022-23CHI81202040-293430417511.416:00
2023-24CHI28279-77000444.513:06
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—487127118245-11118911120106311.914:51

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

Twenty-eight games, 2 goals and 7 assists, 13:06 a night and minus-7. He took 37.8 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 333 minutes, the 2nd percentile, and his ice went 10-18 against an expectation of 10.73-17.62.

Twenty-eight games from a man who played 81 the season before. He converted 4.55 per cent of 44 shots against a career 11.95, and 9 points is the worst rate of his career.

The Finesse Game

The skating is elite and it is the only reason he has 487 games. He is among the fastest men in the league in a straight line and a defenceman who gives him a step does not get it back.

One hundred and twenty-seven career goals on 1,063 shots at 11.95 per cent is a real finishing rate, built almost entirely on breakaways and odd-man rushes. Two goals in 28 games last season is what happens when the club never gets the puck to give him one — Chicago took 40.2 per cent of the shot attempts.

The Physical Game

He is 6-2 and 190 and does not use it. Seven penalty minutes in 28 games and 189 in 487 is a low rate, and the game is played entirely away from contact.

He does not forecheck and does not retrieve. A career minus-111 across 487 games is the number that follows a player who takes off before the puck is won.

The Intangibles

A fourth-round pick in 2012 who scored 30 goals for Detroit at 24 and has been chasing it for six seasons across five clubs. He is 30, and 28 games in a season is now the pattern rather than the exception.

The speed is still there. Nothing else about the season suggests a role.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • forechecks-aggressivelyhe lacks it· first man in, and on the puck

    “He does not forecheck and does not retrieve.”

  • defensively-responsiblehe lacks it· comes back; can be trusted with a lead

    “A career minus-111 across 487 games is the number that follows a player who takes off before the puck is won.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 333 minutes

Expected goals
37.8%
2nd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
40.2%
2nd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 10 for, 18 against. Expected: 10.7 and 17.6.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
1st
Numbers
2nd

The two rank him within 1 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 51 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 28 games

Top speed
23.0 mph
88th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.1

Bursts over 20 mph
3.07 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.19 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
95.3 mph
92nd pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.5

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 333 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
CHI took 41.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 37.8% — 4.1 below the club he did it on.
The role
333 minutes at five-on-five — 8th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Lukas Reichel37.8%37.9%38.8%
Kevin Korchinski34.9%39.4%41.2%
Seth Jones37.9%37.8%46.6%

37.8% together, 37.9% for him apart and 38.8% for Reichel apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

55 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 2 of them goals. His median goal came from 25 feet. 35% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 27% from beyond forty.