This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

Jason Robertson

35 goals and a 16.6 per cent shooting rate, and the only forward here whose on-ice goal differential was better than his chance share earned.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2019-20	DAL	3	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	4	0.0	12:19
2020-21	DAL	51	17	28	45	+13	16	1	0	3	127	13.4	16:53
2021-22	DAL	74	41	38	79	+16	22	13	0	11	220	18.6	18:07
2022-23	DAL	82	46	63	109	+37	20	13	0	7	313	14.7	18:50
2023-24	DAL	82	29	51	80	+19	22	9	0	4	231	12.6	18:19
2024-25	DAL	82	35	45	80	+10	18	9	0	6	211	16.6	17:48
2025-26 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	374	168	226	394	+95	98	45	0	31	1106	15.2	18:02

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

35 goals and 45 assists in 82 games for 80 points, plus-10, on 17:48 a night and 211 shots.

53.7 per cent at five-on-five, the 83rd percentile. His on-ice goals were 59-44 against an expected 53-46, so the line outscored what it created by a wide margin — a good sign about the finishing and a warning about the repeatability.

The Finesse Game

The best release in the organisation and the reason he has scored 30 or more four years running. It is quick off the pass and he changes the angle on it late, which is what beats goaltenders who have already read the play.

The playmaking is genuinely good and undersold. 45 assists is not a byproduct of standing next to good players — he holds pucks on the half-wall and makes the seam pass that a shooter is not expected to make. 37 per cent of his shots come from inside 20 feet, so he is not a perimeter volume shooter either.

The Physical Game

6-3 and 204, and the size does not show up as force. He is honest on the wall and will take a hit to make a play, but he does not win pucks by force and does not forecheck heavily.

The skating is the standing criticism and it is fair: he is not slow, but he is a stride behind the fastest wingers in the league and it shows on the backcheck. 18 penalty minutes is a player who is rarely in trouble.

The Intangibles

Four consecutive 30-goal seasons before turning 26, on a club where he has never been the loudest name. He has scored through three different centres and two different systems.

The question that follows him is April. His playoff production has been thinner than his regular seasons in each of the last three, and for a club whose entire construction is aimed at a deep run that is the specific thing it needs from him.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

durable· was available
82 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it
playmakera strength· passes up the shot a scorer takes
“The playmaking is genuinely good and undersold. 45 assists is not a byproduct of standing next to good players — he holds pucks on the half-wall and makes the seam pass that a shooter is not expected to make.”
wins-the-wallhe lacks it· the corners and below the goal line
“He is honest on the wall and will take a hit to make a play, but he does not win pucks by force”
forechecks-aggressivelyhe lacks it· first man in, and on the puck
“does not forecheck heavily”
nastyhe lacks it· hard to play against; the edge is the point
“18 penalty minutes is a player who is rarely in trouble.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,086 minutes

Expected goals: 53.7%; 83rd pct
Shot attempts: 50.2%; 55th pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 59 for, 44 against. Expected: 53.0 and 45.7.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight

Report

88th

Numbers

83rd

The two rank him within 5 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 80 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 82 games

Top speed: 21.7 mph; 25th pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 0.28 a game
Distance: 2.77 miles a game
Hardest shot: 90.3 mph; 80th pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1086 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club: DAL took 50.7% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 53.7% — 3.0 above the club he did it on.
The role: First line, 1,086 minutes at five-on-five — 73rd percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Roope Hintz	53.6%	53.9%	42.9%
Esa Lindell	52.0%	54.8%	49.9%
Wyatt Johnston	53.3%	54.0%	48.1%

53.6% together, 53.9% for him apart and 42.9% for Hintz apart. Hintz was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Hintz than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

290 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 37 of them goals. His median goal came from 16 feet. 37% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 27% from beyond forty.