Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

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23

Esa Lindell

Dallas Stars Defense

Plus-34 on a pairing that took the hardest minutes, and a 49.5 per cent chance share that says how hard they were.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2015-16DAL4000-3000020.014:03
2016-17DAL7361218+822002996.121:52
2017-18DAL8072027+19242001375.122:05
2018-19DAL82112132+14334211328.324:20
2019-20DAL6932023+512102983.123:25
2020-21DAL5651116+11190101005.023:11
2021-22DAL7642125+4120101362.922:03
2022-23DAL8281624+29100021166.919:55
2023-24DAL8252126+17120001144.420:28
2024-25DAL8052126+3414100995.122:11
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—68454163217+13815884710335.222:04

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

5 goals and 21 assists in 80 games for 26 points, plus-34 — the highest figure on the club — on 22:11 a night.

50.6 per cent at five-on-five, the 58th percentile, over 1,395 minutes, which is the honest reading of his job: he takes the defensive-zone starts and the other club’s best line, and he comes out of it roughly even. His on-ice goals were 65-44 against an expected 59-58.

The Finesse Game

There is very little and there is not meant to be. 99 shots from a median of 51 feet and 5 goals; the first pass is safe rather than quick, and he will eat a puck against the boards rather than force a play up the middle.

What he does have is a genuinely good read on when a rush is about to happen. He kills plays before they start more often than he defends them after, which is the reason a defenceman with these offensive numbers has held a top-pair job for eight years.

The Physical Game

6-3 and 217, and he defends the front of his net properly — boxing out, tying up sticks, and clearing men when he has to. He is not a big hitter and does not chase contact.

14 penalty minutes across 80 games is remarkable for a defenceman who plays this many defensive-zone minutes. He is almost never beaten badly enough to need his stick.

The Intangibles

Ten seasons, one organisation, and the most thankless job on the roster. He is the reason Heiskanen and Harley get to play the way they do.

At 31 the skating is the thing to watch. He was never fast, and a defenceman whose value is arriving on time has a short runway once that goes. The contract runs into his mid-thirties.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • disciplined· stays out of the box

    0.17 penalty minutes a game over 80, 6th percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.75) · 35% keep it

  • durable· was available

    80 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • hard-minutes· is started in his own end, against the other club's best

    36% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 3rd percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it

  • transitionhe lacks it· carries it out; gains the line under control

    “the first pass is safe rather than quick, and he will eat a puck against the boards rather than force a play up the middle”

  • defensively-responsiblea strength· comes back; can be trusted with a lead

    “he takes the defensive-zone starts and the other club's best line, and he comes out of it roughly even”

  • clears-the-creasea strength· moves grown men off the front of his net

    “he defends the front of his net properly — boxing out, tying up sticks, and clearing men when he has to”

  • punishinghe lacks it· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “He is not a big hitter and does not chase contact.”

  • fouls-when-beatenhe lacks it· the stick foul that follows losing a step

    “He is almost never beaten badly enough to need his stick.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,395 minutes

Expected goals
50.6%
59th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
46.2%
20th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 65 for, 44 against. Expected: 59.0 and 57.6.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
60th
Numbers
59th

The two rank him within 1 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 74 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 80 games

Top speed
21.8 mph
55th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.6

Bursts over 20 mph
0.23 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.88 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
86.2 mph
22nd pct

one shot; the league's average best is 89.7

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1395 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
DAL took 50.7% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 50.6% — 0.1 below the club he did it on.
The role
Second pair, 1,395 minutes at five-on-five — 95th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Jason Robertson52.0%49.9%54.8%
Wyatt Johnston49.4%51.1%50.5%
Matt Duchene51.5%50.2%50.9%

52.0% together, 49.9% for him apart and 54.8% for Robertson apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

145 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 5 of them goals. His median goal came from 34 feet. 6% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 72% from beyond forty.