Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

53

Wyatt Johnston

Dallas Stars Center

33 goals at 22 from a median of 19 feet, and the most valuable contract in the league until it isn't.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2022-23DAL82241741+62030316015.015:29
2023-24DAL82323365+143833321614.817:00
2024-25DAL82333871+214113420216.318:56
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—2468988177+22721761057815.417:08

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

33 goals and 38 assists in 82 games for 71 points, plus-2, on 18:56 a night, with 11 on the power play and 3 shorthanded.

50.1 per cent at five-on-five, the 54th percentile. The shot chart is the report: a median shot from 19 feet, 53 per cent of them inside 20, and only 8 per cent from beyond 40. At 22 he already shoots from where goals come from.

The Finesse Game

The hockey sense is the elite thing and it arrived fully formed. He finds the soft ice inside the dots without the puck, arrives as it does, and gets the shot away before the goaltender has finished moving. Three consecutive seasons of 24 goals or more starting at 19 is not a fluke of usage.

The release is quick rather than heavy, which suits the distances he shoots from. The playmaking is good and not yet a strength — 38 assists is honest, and he is more dangerous as the man arriving than as the man distributing.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 187, and he goes to the hard areas without having the frame for them yet. He takes punishment at the net front and gives some back, and he has not missed a game in three seasons doing it.

14 penalty minutes says he is disciplined. The strength will come; nothing about his game depends on it arriving.

The Intangibles

A first-round pick who was in the NHL at 19 and has never had a bad month, on a club where he is the fourth-most discussed forward. He kills penalties, plays the last minute of a period either way, and has three 24-goal seasons before his 23rd birthday.

The only real question is the ceiling. A 33-goal, 71-point season on a third-line share of the ice time is either a man who will be a star with more, or a man perfectly optimised for the role he has. The next contract is Dallas’s largest single bet.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • ordinaryraised, and called ordinary
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • slot-man· shoots from where goals are scored

    64.4% of his attempts in the slot, 91st percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.69) · 44% keep it

  • durable· was available

    82 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • playmakerpresent and ordinary· passes up the shot a scorer takes

    “The playmaking is good and not yet a strength — 38 assists is honest, and he is more dangerous as the man arriving than as the man distributing.”

  • net-fronta strength· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips

    “He takes punishment at the net front and gives some back”

  • nastyhe lacks it· hard to play against; the edge is the point

    “14 penalty minutes says he is disciplined.”

  • penalty-killera strength· trusted a man short

    “He kills penalties, plays the last minute of a period either way”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,070 minutes

Expected goals
50.1%
54th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
47.1%
26th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 54 for, 48 against. Expected: 49.6 and 49.3.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
91st
Numbers
54th

The report ranks him 37 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 81 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 82 games

Top speed
22.2 mph
43rd pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
1.29 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
3.08 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
87.1 mph
60th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1070 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
DAL took 50.7% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 50.1% — 0.6 below the club he did it on.
The role
First line, 1,070 minutes at five-on-five — 71st percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Jamie Benn49.1%51.1%47.9%
Thomas Harley50.0%50.2%54.3%
Jason Robertson53.3%48.1%54.0%

49.1% together, 51.1% for him apart and 47.9% for Benn apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

298 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 34 of them goals. His median goal came from 16 feet. 53% of his shots came from inside twenty feet.