Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2026-27 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2026-27 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

Jason Robertson

Photo by Jenn G, CC BY-SA 2.0

Jason Robertson

Dallas Stars Left Wing #21

45 goals, 96 points, and the best on-ice rate of any forward here.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2019-20DAL30110000040.012:19
2020-21DAL51172845+131610312713.416:53
2021-22DAL74413879+16221301122018.618:07
2022-23DAL824663109+3720130731314.718:50
2023-24DAL82295180+192290423112.618:19
2024-25DAL82354580+101890621116.617:48
2025-26DAL82455196+2232150929415.320:15
2026-27 so far—————————————
Career—456213277490+11713060040140015.218:26

This Season So Far

The 2026-27 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

45 goals and 51 assists in all 82 games — 96 points, plus-22, at 20:15 a night with 15 power-play goals. 294 shots on goal, the most on the club.

The Finesse Game

The shot is the best on a team that finished 3rd in the league in finishing, and it is the location as much as the release: 40 per cent of his unblocked attempts came from inside 20 feet, median 24, with only 15 per cent from beyond 40.

He is not fast. He has never been fast. What he has is a first step into a shooting lane that opens for about a third of a second, and hands quick enough to use it — which is why 422 attempts produced 50 goals across all situations.

51 assists says the passing is genuinely first-line, not a by-product of playing with good people.

The Physical Game

6-3, 204, and he wins pucks with reach and body position rather than speed. 32 penalty minutes. He goes to the net front on the power play and stays there.

The skating is the one real limitation and it is the reason he was a 39th overall pick.

The Intangibles

55.5 per cent of the expected goals, 89th percentile, on a club whose team figure was 50.5 and whose shot-attempt share was 47.5 — meaning he was carrying rather than being carried.

The expected goals ran 61.3 to 49.1 in his favour across 1,251 minutes.

He is 26, 490 points into 456 games, and 12 points in his last 10 with 7 goals. On a team built to defend, he is the reason it also scores.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • hard-shot· beats a goaltender from range

    6 of 64 attempts from 40 feet or beyond, 9.4%, 95th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.21) · 16% keep it

  • durable· was available

    82 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • drives-play· the shot clock turns his way while he is out there

    55.5% of the expected goals at five-on-five with him on, 47.7% for his club in the minutes he sat: +7.8, 98th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats moderately (0.39) · 29% keep it

  • workhorse· carries the load at even strength

    15:15 a game at five-on-five, 95th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.78) · 58% keep it

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2025-26 · 1,251 minutes

Expected goals
55.5%
90th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
51.2%
68th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 64 for, 38 against. Expected: 61.3 and 49.1.

The eye and the numbers

Sighted
Report
92nd
Numbers
90th

The two rank him within 2 points of one another. It was written with these numbers on screen, so the agreement is not corroboration — the arithmetic is on both sides of it.

Both bars are percentiles among the 656 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 81 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2025-26 · 82 games

Top speed
22.7 mph
72nd pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
0.74 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
3.13 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
90.2 mph
84th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.6

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Recent form

Last 20 appearances, 2025-26, oldest first

12

points in his last 10 games — 7 goals, 5 assists, 37 shots

Each bar is one game by points. Filled bars are games he scored in.

Usual linemates

2025-26 · 1251 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2025-26

The club
DAL took 50.5% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 55.5% — 5.0 above the club he did it on.
The role
First line, 1,251 minutes at five-on-five — 86th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Mavrik Bourque58.4%52.6%48.1%
Roope Hintz56.9%54.7%50.0%
Wyatt Johnston54.8%56.1%48.0%

58.4% together, 52.6% for him apart and 48.1% for Bourque apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

422 unblocked shots in 2025-26, 50 of them goals. His median goal came from 19 feet. 41% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 15% from beyond forty.