This is the 2022-23 edition — an archived read. Read the 2025-26 report →

Jake Bean

Twenty and a half minutes a night at 42.5 per cent of the chances, the 5th percentile, with a shot at the 4th percentile among defencemen.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2018-19	CAR	2	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	1	0.0	8:28
2020-21	CAR	42	1	11	12	-2	10	1	0	0	55	1.8	14:32
2021-22	CBJ	67	7	18	25	-5	26	0	0	2	90	7.8	20:34
2022-23 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	111	8	29	37	-7	38	1	0	2	146	5.5	18:04

This Season So Far

The 2022-23 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

7 goals and 18 assists in 67 games — 25 points at 20:34 a night, minus-5, with 26 penalty minutes.

42.7 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,207 minutes, the 5th percentile among defencemen. His ice went 52-59 against an expectation of 45.61-61.14.

He arrived from Carolina in the summer of 2021 and went straight into twenty minutes a night, which is more than Carolina had ever given him — 14:32 was his previous high.

The Finesse Game

7.8 per cent shooting from a defenceman is the 88th percentile and 7 goals on 90 shots is a genuinely good conversion rate. 1.00 giveaways per 60 is the 13th-lowest of the 202 qualified defencemen.

His top shot speed was 87.1 mph, the 4th percentile among defencemen. The median attempt travels 49 feet and 69 per cent come from beyond 40 — he is a point shooter with no point shot, and the goals came from finding lanes rather than from beating anybody clean.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 191, 1.79 hits and 3.09 blocks per 60, the 10th and 14th percentiles among defencemen. There is almost nothing here. He does not hit, he does not block, and 0.17 penalties drawn per 60 is the 12th percentile — nobody notices him in either direction.

40.1 per cent of his even-strength time was in the offensive zone, the 9th percentile, which is the deployment of a man asked to defend and not trusted to attack.

The Intangibles

Thirteenth overall in 2016, and 111 NHL games at 24.

The skating is described everywhere as the asset, and the tracking gives 21.3 mph at the 19th percentile among defencemen — a season best, which measures how often he was allowed to run rather than how he moves. Nothing here separates a bad first pass from a bad gap, and that is the question a third year has to answer: 1,207 minutes of him went 42.7 per cent.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

clears-the-creasehe lacks it· moves grown men off the front of his net
“1.79 hits and 3.09 blocks per 60, the 10th and 14th percentiles among defencemen.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2021-22 · 1,207 minutes

Expected goals: 42.7%; 9th pct
Shot attempts: 48.3%; 39th pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 52 for, 59 against. Expected: 45.6 and 61.1.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight

Report

1st

Numbers

9th

The two rank him within 8 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 649 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 44 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2021-22 · 67 games

Top speed: 21.3 mph; 41st pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 0.36 a game
Distance: 2.90 miles a game
Hardest shot: 87.1 mph; 24th pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2021-22 · 1207 minutes at five-on-five

Zach Werenski43%
Vladislav Gavrikov20%
Dean Kukanoff the roster12%

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2021-22

The club: CBJ took 44.8% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 42.7% — 2.1 below the club he did it on.
The role: Second pair, 1,207 minutes at five-on-five — 86th percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Zach Werenski	44.1%	41.6%	46.5%
Oliver Bjorkstrand	46.9%	40.8%	48.3%
Gustav Nyquist	42.1%	43.0%	44.2%

44.1% together, 41.6% for him apart and 46.5% for Werenski apart. Splitting them up moved neither man. Whatever is driving the share, it is not this pairing.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

133 unblocked shots in 2021-22, 7 of them goals. His median goal came from 32 feet. 8% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 69% from beyond forty.