This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

Ivan Provorov

All eighty-two games at 22:10, and six hundred and fourteen career games of it on clubs that concede.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2016-17	PHI	82	6	24	30	-7	34	0	0	1	161	3.7	21:59
2017-18	PHI	82	17	24	41	+17	20	2	0	2	203	8.4	24:09
2018-19	PHI	82	7	19	26	-16	32	0	0	1	145	4.8	25:07
2019-20	PHI	69	13	23	36	+11	24	7	0	3	150	8.7	24:51
2020-21	PHI	56	7	19	26	+4	28	0	0	2	126	5.6	25:00
2021-22	PHI	79	9	22	31	-20	34	1	0	1	170	5.3	24:53
2022-23	PHI	82	6	21	27	-17	24	0	0	1	115	5.2	23:01
2023-24	CBJ	82	5	27	32	-11	20	0	0	0	107	4.7	22:10
2024-25 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	614	70	179	249	-39	216	10	0	11	1177	5.9	23:49

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

5 goals and 27 assists in all 82 games — 32 points at 22:10 a night, minus-11, on 107 shots at 4.67 per cent, and 20 penalty minutes.

45.4 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,440 minutes, the 23rd percentile — the most five-on-five ice on the roster. His ice went 60-63 against an expectation of 56.67-68.16 — nine goals scored above expectation and exactly what the chances said at the other end.

The Finesse Game

107 attempts at a median of 52 feet, with 72 per cent from beyond 40 and 8 per cent from inside 20, converting at 4.67 per cent. Seventy goals in 614 career games.

27 assists and 179 for his career. The first pass is short and safe and he does not carry the puck out under a heavy forecheck, and the offensive dimension has never been the reason he plays twenty-two minutes.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 224 and heavy. He blocks shots and he defends positionally, and he will clear the front of his own net without punishing anybody in the process.

20 penalty minutes in 82 games and 216 in 614 for his career is a very low rate for a defenceman taking these minutes. He does not retaliate and he is not an agitator.

The Intangibles

Seventh overall in 2015 by Philadelphia, and 614 games and 249 points at 27 with a career minus-39, almost all of it accumulated on clubs that conceded.

He played all eighty-two games on a team that finished twenty-ninth, at 22:10 a night. A defenceman who is available every night and never takes a penalty is worth more to a bad club than to a good one, and the criticism he attracts is mostly a criticism of the teams he has been asked to hold together.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

durable· was available
82 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it
shot-blockera strength· gets in front of it
“**He blocks shots and he defends positionally**, and he will clear the front of his own net without punishing anybody in the process.”
clears-the-creasea strength· moves grown men off the front of his net
“**He blocks shots and he defends positionally**, and he will clear the front of his own net without punishing anybody in the process.”
punishinghe lacks it· finishes checks; hurts people legally
“**He blocks shots and he defends positionally**, and he will clear the front of his own net without punishing anybody in the process.”
retaliateshe lacks it· answers the cross-check, and takes the second penalty
“He does not retaliate and he is not an agitator.”
agitatorhe lacks it· gets under the skin; draws the retaliation
“He does not retaliate and he is not an agitator.”
transitionhe lacks it· carries it out; gains the line under control
“**The first pass is short and safe and he does not carry the puck out under a heavy forecheck**, and the offensive dimension has never been the reason he plays twenty-two minutes.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,440 minutes

Expected goals: 45.4%; 24th pct
Shot attempts: 48.4%; 39th pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 60 for, 63 against. Expected: 56.7 and 68.2.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight

Report

43rd

Numbers

24th

The two rank him within 19 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 68 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 82 games

Top speed: 21.6 mph; 46th pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 0.76 a game
Distance: 3.27 miles a game
Hardest shot: 93.7 mph; 64th pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 1440 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club: CBJ took 45.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 45.4% — 0.5 below the club he did it on.
The role: First pair, 1,440 minutes at five-on-five — 96th percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Damon Severson	50.3%	42.9%	47.1%
Johnny Gaudreau	52.7%	42.3%	48.3%
Kirill Marchenko	43.5%	46.0%	47.5%

50.3% together, 42.9% for him apart and 47.1% for Severson apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

153 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 5 of them goals. His median goal came from 34 feet. 8% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 72% from beyond forty.