This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Jack Drury
Carolina Hurricanes Center
The ninety-sixth percentile of chances on a fourth line, and twenty-seven points in seventy-four games.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-22 | CAR | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 33.3 | 15:58 |
| 2022-23 | CAR | 38 | 2 | 6 | 8 | +3 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 69 | 2.9 | 10:47 |
| 2023-24 | CAR | 74 | 8 | 19 | 27 | +4 | 33 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 106 | 7.5 | 12:17 |
| 2024-25 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 114 | 12 | 25 | 37 | +10 | 49 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 181 | 6.6 | 11:51 |
This Season So Far
The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
8 goals and 19 assists in 74 games — 27 points at 12:17 a night, plus-4, with 2 power-play goals on 106 shots at 7.55 per cent, and 33 penalty minutes.
58.3 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 825 minutes, the 97th percentile. His ice went 37-32 against an expectation of 35.79-25.63 — six goals conceded above expectation.
The Finesse Game
106 attempts at a median of 27 feet, with 38 per cent from inside 20 and 25 per cent from beyond 40, converting at 7.55 per cent. Twelve goals in 114 career games; there is not much of a shot.
19 assists in 74 games from a fourth line is the number. He reads the play a beat early and moves the puck before he is pressured, and the hockey sense is well ahead of the tools.
The Physical Game
5-11 and 186 and light for a centre taking defensive draws. He competes on the wall without winning many against size.
33 penalty minutes in 74 games and 49 in 114 for his career. He is trusted a man short and he is one of the reasons the kill was first in the league — he does not put himself in the position of having to foul.
The Intangibles
Forty-second overall in 2018, out of Harvard, and 114 NHL games at 24, the son of a general manager and the nephew of a Stanley Cup captain.
Twenty-seven points and the ninety-sixth percentile of chances in a first full season is a good third-line centre arriving, and on a club that has just lost three top-nine forwards there is now room for him to be more than that.
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 825 minutes
- Expected goals
- 58.3%
- 97th pct
- Shot attempts
- 60.7%
- 99th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 37 for, 32 against. Expected: 35.8 and 25.6.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe numbers rank him 28 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 201 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 68 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Usual linemates
2023-24 · 825 minutes at five-on-five
- Stefan Noesennow NJD49%
- Martin Necas46%
- Michael Buntingnow PIT36%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2023-24
- The club
- CAR took 56.6% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 58.3% — 1.7 above the club he did it on.
- The role
- Third line, 825 minutes at five-on-five — 41st percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Martin Necas | 57.9% | 58.6% | 52.7% |
| Stefan Noesen | 62.9% | 53.2% | 55.3% |
| Dmitry Orlov | 57.9% | 58.5% | 59.3% |
57.9% together, 58.6% for him apart and 52.7% for Necas apart. Necas was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Necas than for him.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
160 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 8 of them goals. His median goal came from 13 feet. 38% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 25% from beyond forty.