This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

Jack Drury

The ninety-sixth percentile of chances on a fourth line, and twenty-seven points in seventy-four games.

Season	Team	GP	G	A	PTS	+/-	PIM	PP	SH	GW	S	S%	TOI

2021-22	CAR	2	2	0	2	+3	2	0	0	0	6	33.3	15:58
2022-23	CAR	38	2	6	8	+3	14	0	0	1	69	2.9	10:47
2023-24	CAR	74	8	19	27	+4	33	2	0	0	106	7.5	12:17
2024-25 so far	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Career	—	114	12	25	37	+10	49	2	0	1	181	6.6	11:51

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

8 goals and 19 assists in 74 games — 27 points at 12:17 a night, plus-4, with 2 power-play goals on 106 shots at 7.55 per cent, and 33 penalty minutes.

58.1 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 825 minutes, the 96th percentile. His ice went 32-28 against an expectation of 35.06-25.27 — three goals conceded above expectation, and three of scoring that did not arrive.

The Finesse Game

106 attempts at a median of 27 feet, with 38 per cent from inside 20 and 25 per cent from beyond 40, converting at 7.55 per cent. Twelve goals in 114 career games; there is not much of a shot.

19 assists in 74 games from a fourth line is the number. He reads the play a beat early and moves the puck before he is pressured, and the hockey sense is well ahead of the tools.

The Physical Game

5-11 and 186 and light for a centre taking defensive draws. He competes on the wall without winning many against size.

33 penalty minutes in 74 games and 49 in 114 for his career. He is trusted a man short and he is one of the reasons the kill was first in the league — he does not put himself in the position of having to foul.

The Intangibles

Forty-second overall in 2018, out of Harvard, and 114 NHL games at 24, the son of a general manager and the nephew of a Stanley Cup captain.

Twenty-seven points and the ninety-sixth percentile of chances in a first full season is a good third-line centre arriving, and on a club that has just lost three top-nine forwards there is now room for him to be more than that.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

sheltered· is started in the attacking end
62% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 92nd percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 47% keep it
playmakera strength· passes up the shot a scorer takes
“**19 assists in 74 games from a fourth line is the number.** **He reads the play a beat early and moves the puck before he is pressured**, and the hockey sense is well ahead of the tools.”
penalty-killera strength· trusted a man short
“**He is trusted a man short** and he is one of the reasons the kill was first in the league — he does not put himself in the position of having to foul.”
wins-the-wallhe lacks it· the corners and below the goal line
“He competes on the wall without winning many against size.”
faceoffsa strength· takes the draw that starts it
“5-11 and 186 and light for a centre taking defensive draws.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 825 minutes

Expected goals: 58.1%; 96th pct
Shot attempts: 60.7%; 99th pct

Goals while he was on the ice: 32 for, 28 against. Expected: 35.1 and 25.3.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight

Report

43rd

Numbers

96th

The numbers rank him 53 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 68 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 74 games

Top speed: 22.8 mph; 80th pct
Bursts over 20 mph: 0.68 a game
Distance: 2.01 miles a game
Hardest shot: 89.6 mph; 68th pct

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 825 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club: CAR took 56.6% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 58.1% — 1.5 above the club he did it on.
The role: Third line, 825 minutes at five-on-five — 41st percentile in ice time.

With and without

Teammate	Together	Him apart	Mate apart
Martin Necas	59.4%	56.8%	50.8%
Stefan Noesen	63.9%	51.5%	55.2%
Dmitry Orlov	57.3%	58.7%	57.7%

59.4% together, 56.8% for him apart and 50.8% for Necas apart. Necas was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Necas than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

160 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 8 of them goals. His median goal came from 13 feet. 38% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 25% from beyond forty.