This is the 2023-24 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Jack Drury
Carolina Hurricanes Center
The 100th percentile in expected-goal share, and two goals on 65 shots.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-22 | CAR | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 33.3 | 15:58 |
| 2022-23 | CAR | 38 | 2 | 6 | 8 | +3 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 69 | 2.9 | 10:47 |
| 2023-24 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 40 | 4 | 6 | 10 | +6 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 75 | 5.3 | 11:03 |
This Season So Far
The 2023-24 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
2 goals and 6 assists in 38 games — 8 points at 10:47 a night, plus-3, with 14 penalty minutes on 69 shots at 2.90 per cent.
64.1 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 372 minutes, the 100th percentile in the league — the highest share on a club that led the league in generating them. His ice went 13-9 against an expectation of 17.41-9.75.
He is 23 and this was his first real NHL season.
The Finesse Game
One goal on 28 shots from inside twenty feet, one from the middle band, none on fifteen from beyond forty. 2.90 per cent across the season.
If you wanted a single player to stand for Carolina’s year, it is this one. He got to better places on the ice than anyone in the league, took 69 shots from them, and scored twice. The club’s shortfall was eighteen goals below its expected total; his own contribution to that was about four goals in a third of a season.
A rate that low over 69 shots is mostly noise and the honest thing is to say so. Nothing in this data distinguishes a 23-year-old who cannot finish from a 23-year-old who did not, and 38 games is not enough to have watched it either.
The Physical Game
5-11 and 186 with 14 penalty minutes. He is not a physical player and the role does not ask him to be.
1.74 miles a game at the 5th percentile and 21.7 mph at the 21st, on ten-minute nights of short shifts. The tracking on a fourth-line rookie is mostly a description of his ice time and should not be read as a description of his legs.
The Intangibles
A second-round pick at 42nd overall in 2018, Harvard, a season in Sweden, and then the American League.
48.7 per cent of his even-strength shifts started in the offensive zone. He comes from a hockey family — his father Ted and his uncle Chris both played long NHL careers — and the part of the game he has clearly inherited is knowing where to be.
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2022-23 · 372 minutes
- Expected goals
- 64.1%
- 100th pct
- Shot attempts
- 65.6%
- 100th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 13 for, 9 against. Expected: 17.4 and 9.8.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe numbers rank him 60 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 120 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 61 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Usual linemates
2022-23 · 372 minutes at five-on-five
- Derek Stepanoff the roster52%
- Paul Stastnyoff the roster32%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2022-23
- The club
- CAR took 58.9% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 64.1% — 5.2 above the club he did it on.
- The role
- 372 minutes at five-on-five — 10th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Stepan | 67.7% | 59.9% | 62.5% |
| Paul Stastny | 63.0% | 64.7% | 60.2% |
| Jalen Chatfield | 67.7% | 62.0% | 59.4% |
67.7% together, 59.9% for him apart and 62.5% for Stepan apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
84 unblocked shots in 2022-23, 2 of them goals. His median goal came from 21 feet. 40% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 26% from beyond forty.