Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

88

Martin Necas

Carolina Hurricanes Center

Two hundred and thirty-one shots, twenty-four goals, and thirteen goals missing from his ice.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2017-18CAR10000000006:54
2018-19CAR711202000616.710:01
2019-20CAR64162036-6205038818.214:10
2020-21CAR53142741+251042311412.317:17
2021-22CAR78142640+5322161598.816:11
2022-23CAR82284371+53290524011.718:25
2023-24CAR77242953-94280323110.417:21
2024-25 so far
Career36297146243+201382832083811.616:36

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

24 goals and 29 assists in 77 games — 53 points at 17:21 a night, minus-9, with 8 power-play goals and 3 game-winners on 231 shots, converting at 10.39 per cent, and 42 penalty minutes.

Two hundred and thirty-one attempts is the largest volume on the roster and 10.39 per cent is the lowest conversion of any regular forward.

54.3 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,111 minutes, the 84th percentile. His ice went 41-33 against an expectation of 54.46-45.84 — thirteen goals of scoring missing, and eleven fewer conceded than the chances predicted.

The Finesse Game

231 attempts at a median of 33 feet, with 28 per cent from beyond 40 and 26 per cent from inside 20, converting at 10.39 per cent against a career 11.58.

The skating is the top end of this roster and possibly of the league — he enters the offensive zone with the puck under control at speed, which on a club whose entries are otherwise a chip and a chase is the rarest thing it has. He carries it and he gains the line.

29 assists. The passing is good and the decision at the end of the rush is the weakest part of the game — he takes the shot from thirty-three feet more often than the play deserves.

The Physical Game

6-3 and 195 and light for the height. He does not forecheck with force and he does not win pucks on the wall, and he goes around contact rather than through it.

42 penalty minutes in 77 games and 138 in 362 for his career. He does not agitate and he does not retaliate.

The Intangibles

Twelfth overall in 2017, out of Brno, and 362 games and 243 points at 25, all of them here.

He is 25 and had a career high in shots and a career-low conversion. On a club that finished last in the league in finishing, the man who took the most attempts and scored on the fewest of them is the season in one player, and the direction of that correction is the reason to be optimistic about him.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,111 minutes

Expected goals
54.3%
84th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
58.6%
97th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 41 for, 33 against. Expected: 54.5 and 45.8.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
79th
Numbers
84th

The two rank him within 5 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 201 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 71 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 1111 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
CAR took 56.6% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 54.3% — 2.3 below the club he did it on.
The role
Third line, 1,111 minutes at five-on-five — 73rd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Dmitry Orlov53.5%54.8%62.1%
Jack Drury57.9%52.7%58.6%
Jaccob Slavin56.1%53.5%56.8%

53.5% together, 54.8% for him apart and 62.1% for Orlov apart. Orlov was better away from him while his own share held, which is a mark against him more than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

321 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 25 of them goals. His median goal came from 25 feet. 26% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 28% from beyond forty.