Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.
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24

Haydn Fleury

Winnipeg Jets Defense

Seventh overall in 2014, 307 games, 44 points, and the worst chance share on this roster.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2017-18CAR67088-214000860.016:48
2018-19CAR20011+42000170.012:32
2019-20CAR4541014-28000656.213:40
2020-21CAR/ANA47314-128000624.815:24
2021-22SEA36224013001523.916:17
2022-23TBL29011-1014000330.012:48
2023-24TBL24145+520000254.016:07
2024-25WPG39077-126000380.015:56
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—307103444-29850013782.615:15

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

No goals and 7 assists in 39 games — 7 points at 15:56 a night, minus-12, with 6 penalty minutes on 38 shots.

43.9 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 18th percentile — the worst mark on the roster by a distance. His ice went 13-21 against an expectation of 17.13-21.85, which is six fewer goals conceded than the chances predicted, and the chances were bad.

The Finesse Game

38 attempts in 39 games and no goals. 10 goals and 44 points in 307 career games across eight seasons.

7 assists. The first pass is the safe one and under a forecheck the exits stop, which is most of why the chance share looks the way it does.

The Physical Game

6-4 and 207 and he defends the rush with reach rather than with force. He clears his crease adequately and he does not hurt anybody.

6 penalty minutes in 39 games is a very low rate. He does not foul and he does not retaliate, and 85 penalty minutes in 307 career games says that has always been true.

The Intangibles

Seventh overall in 2014 and 307 games and 44 points across five organisations in eight seasons.

He is 29. A top-ten pick who is a seventh defenceman at 29 is a common enough story and it is worth saying plainly: the skating was never quite enough and nothing else was ever going to cover it.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • ordinaryraised, and called ordinary
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • hard-minutes· is started in his own end, against the other club's best

    37% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 5th percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it

  • defends-with-reacha strength· takes the puck before the contact happens

    “6-4 and 207 and he defends the rush with reach rather than with force.”

  • clears-the-creasepresent and ordinary· moves grown men off the front of his net

    “He clears his crease adequately and he does not hurt anybody.”

  • fouls-when-beatena strength· the stick foul that follows losing a step

    “**6 penalty minutes in 39 games** is a very low rate. He does not foul and he does not retaliate, and 85 penalty minutes in 307 career games says that has always been true.”

  • retaliateshe lacks it· answers the cross-check, and takes the second penalty

    “He does not foul and he does not retaliate, and 85 penalty minutes in 307 career games says that has always been true.”

  • transitionhe lacks it· carries it out; gains the line under control

    “The first pass is the safe one and under a forecheck the exits stop, which is most of why the chance share looks the way it does.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 541 minutes

Expected goals
43.9%
12th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
47.7%
31st pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 13 for, 21 against. Expected: 17.1 and 21.9.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
5th
Numbers
12th

The two rank him within 7 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 61 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 39 games

Top speed
22.6 mph
84th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.6

Bursts over 20 mph
0.82 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.36 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
95.0 mph
77th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 89.7

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 541 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
WPG took 51.8% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 43.9% — 7.9 below the club he did it on.
The role
541 minutes at five-on-five — 19th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Neal Pionk34.8%49.2%53.4%
Mason Appleton43.1%44.3%48.2%
Nino Niederreiter47.0%42.5%48.1%

34.8% together, 49.2% for him apart and 53.4% for Pionk apart. Both were better apart than together — the pairing was doing neither of them any favours.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

58 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 0 of them goals. 3% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 74% from beyond forty.