Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

22

Kevin Fiala

Los Angeles Kings Left Wing

35 goals, 244 shots, and a 57.8 per cent chance share — the best of any forward on the club.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2014-15NSH1000-1000030.011:25
2015-16NSH510100000119.113:09
2016-17NSH5411516+1180011149.713:31
2017-18NSH80232548+202640418712.315:09
2018-19NSH/MIN83132639-23362021747.515:38
2019-20MIN64233154-14290417513.115:24
2020-21MIN50202040-24360516212.316:54
2021-22MIN82335285+235251726212.617:39
2022-23LAK69234972+25270220811.117:36
2023-24LAK82294473+162110222512.918:02
2024-25LAK81352560-738140624414.318:31
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—651211277488+1336958133176511.916:34

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

35 goals and 25 assists in 81 games for 60 points, minus-7, on 18:31 a night with 14 on the power play and 244 shots — the most on the club.

57.5 per cent at five-on-five, the 97th percentile. His on-ice goals were 45-42 against an expected 51-37, so the line was outscored relative to the chances by a wide margin despite being the club’s most dominant.

The Finesse Game

The most naturally skilled forward on the roster. The release is quick and disguised, he can beat a defenceman one-on-one from a standing start, and 244 shots is the volume of a man who backs himself.

The distances are the caution — 31 per cent from beyond 40 feet, only a quarter from inside 20 — so a 14.3 per cent rate is doing a lot of work. 14 of his 35 goals came on the power play, which is the number to hold lightly.

The Physical Game

6 feet and 205, and he does not play to it. He does not forecheck with weight, avoids the wall, and gives up possession rather than absorbing contact.

38 penalty minutes over 81 games. The durability has been excellent since arriving here.

The Intangibles

A first-round pick, three organisations, and a career of scoring 30 goals for clubs that are never quite sure they want him.

At 29 the projection is 30 goals and no defensive contribution. On a team built entirely on defending, he is the exception the structure carries — and the 97th-percentile chance share says the structure carries him well.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • perimeter· shoots from the outside, by choice or because he cannot get in

    30.5% of his attempts from 40 feet or beyond, 91st percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it

  • durable· was available

    81 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • workhorse· carries the load at even strength

    14:21 a game at five-on-five, 91st percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.78) · 58% keep it

  • forechecks-aggressivelyhe lacks it· first man in, and on the puck

    “He does not forecheck with weight”

  • wins-the-wallhe lacks it· the corners and below the goal line

    “avoids the wall”

  • hard-to-movehe lacks it· cannot be shifted from where he decides to stand

    “gives up possession rather than absorbing contact”

  • defensively-responsiblehe lacks it· comes back; can be trusted with a lead

    “At 29 the projection is 30 goals and no defensive contribution.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,163 minutes

Expected goals
57.5%
97th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
56.2%
94th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 45 for, 42 against. Expected: 50.5 and 37.4.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
66th
Numbers
97th

The numbers rank him 31 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 75 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 81 games

Top speed
22.2 mph
46th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
1.36 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.95 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
93.7 mph
94th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1163 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
LAK took 54.0% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 57.5% — 3.5 above the club he did it on.
The role
First line, 1,163 minutes at five-on-five — 82nd percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Alex Laferriere57.7%57.2%54.7%
Quinton Byfield57.9%57.2%55.9%
Phillip Danault58.6%56.6%56.0%

57.7% together, 57.2% for him apart and 54.7% for Laferriere apart. Laferriere was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Laferriere than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

383 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 37 of them goals. His median goal came from 28 feet. 26% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 31% from beyond forty.