Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

6

Colin Miller

Winnipeg Jets Defense

Five hundred and seventy-two games across six organisations, and 83 per cent of his shot attempts from beyond 40 feet.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2015-16BOS4231316039000595.115:48
2016-17BOS616713055100857.115:49
2017-18VGK82103141-4535021775.719:21
2018-19VGK65326290441001312.319:39
2019-20BUF5111011-922001791.317:08
2020-21BUF484812-2027100646.318:00
2021-22BUF3821214-221000484.218:59
2022-23DAL7961521+23371031065.716:46
2023-24NJD/WPG46459+826000695.815:42
2024-25WPG6041115+1038100685.914:31
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—57243138181+636210068864.917:15

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

4 goals and 11 assists in 60 games — 15 points at 14:31 a night, plus-10, with a power-play goal on 68 shots, and 38 penalty minutes.

52.7 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 76th percentile. His ice went 28-18 against an expectation of 29.34-26.33 — six goals better than expected for and four fewer conceded, on a third pairing.

The Finesse Game

68 attempts at a median of 57 feet with 83 per cent from beyond 40 and 3 per cent from inside 20, converting at 5.9 per cent.

The shot from the point is genuinely heavy and it produced 41 points in a season once, in Vegas. 181 points in 572 career games is the record since. 11 assists.

The Physical Game

6-1 and 200 and he is not a physical defenceman. He defends with his stick and his skating and he does not clear his crease by force.

38 penalty minutes in 60 games is a moderate rate, and a share of it is the stick foul after losing a step.

The Intangibles

A fifth-round pick of Los Angeles in 2012 — 151st overall — and 572 games and 181 points across six organisations.

He is 32. He was a 41-point defenceman on Vegas’s first team and has been a third pair everywhere since, which is a career most fifth-round picks would take.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • perimeter· shoots from the outside, by choice or because he cannot get in

    82.9% of his attempts from 40 feet or beyond, 90th percentile among defencemen

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it

  • clears-the-creasehe lacks it· moves grown men off the front of his net

    “He defends with his stick and his skating and he does not clear his crease by force.”

  • defends-with-reacha strength· takes the puck before the contact happens

    “He defends with his stick and his skating and he does not clear his crease by force.”

  • fouls-when-beatenhe lacks it· the stick foul that follows losing a step

    “38 penalty minutes in 60 games is a moderate rate, and a share of it is the stick foul after losing a step.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 813 minutes

Expected goals
52.7%
75th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
50.9%
63rd pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 28 for, 18 against. Expected: 29.3 and 26.3.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
42nd
Numbers
75th

The numbers rank him 33 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 71 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 60 games

Top speed
21.3 mph
32nd pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.6

Bursts over 20 mph
0.42 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.08 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
103.1 mph
99th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 89.7

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 813 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
WPG took 51.8% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 52.7% — 0.9 above the club he did it on.
The role
Third pair, 813 minutes at five-on-five — 37th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Logan Stanley52.4%53.0%47.3%
Mark Scheifele43.6%57.0%52.2%
Cole Perfetti58.9%49.7%51.5%

52.4% together, 53.0% for him apart and 47.3% for Stanley apart. Stanley was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Stanley than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

105 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 4 of them goals. His median goal came from 48 feet. 3% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 83% from beyond forty.