This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017-18 | CAR | 67 | 0 | 8 | 8 | -2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 86 | 0.0 | 16:48 |
| 2018-19 | CAR | 20 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 0.0 | 12:32 |
| 2019-20 | CAR | 45 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 65 | 6.2 | 13:40 |
| 2020-21 | CAR/ANA | 47 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -12 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 62 | 4.8 | 15:24 |
| 2021-22 | SEA | 36 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 52 | 3.9 | 16:17 |
| 2022-23 | TBL | 29 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -10 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 33 | 0.0 | 12:48 |
| 2023-24 | TBL | 24 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +5 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 4.0 | 16:07 |
| 2024-25 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 268 | 10 | 27 | 37 | -17 | 79 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 340 | 2.9 | 15:09 |
This Season So Far
The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
24 games with Tampa Bay, 1 goal and 4 assists for 5 points, 20 penalty minutes, 16:07 a night and plus-5. He took 45.8 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 357 minutes, the 25th percentile, and his ice went 17-11 against an expectation of 12.18-14.43.
Five goals of finishing above what the chances were worth and three goals of goaltending above them. Forty-five point eight per cent of the chances is the lowest share of any defenceman arriving in Winnipeg or already there.
The Finesse Game
37 attempts at a median of 53 feet with 76 per cent of them from beyond forty and 11 per cent from inside twenty, 24 of those on goal, converted at 4.0 per cent against a career 2.94 across 340 shots.
Ten career goals and no power-play goals at all in 268 games. A career 2.94 per cent across three hundred and forty shots is a defenceman whose shot has never gone in; the puck goes at the net from the point or off the glass and nothing else is asked for.
The Physical Game
He is 6-4 and 207 and took 20 penalty minutes in 24 games.
Seventy-nine career penalty minutes in 268 games. He is large and clears the crease and finishes checks at the wall; twenty penalty minutes in 24 games is a higher rate than anything else in his file.
The Intangibles
Seventh overall in 2014 by Carolina, seven seasons, and Winnipeg will be his fifth organisation.
A career minus-17 in 268 games. He was the seventh pick in his draft, he has 37 points in seven seasons, and he has been a spare defenceman on four clubs.
What kind of player
The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.
- measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
- a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
- he lacks itraised, and he does not have it
Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.
- hard-minutes· is started in his own end, against the other club's best
39% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 9th percentile among defencemen
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it
“He is large and clears the crease and finishes checks at the wall; twenty penalty minutes in 24 games is a higher rate than anything else in his file.”
“A career 2.94 per cent across three hundred and forty shots is a defenceman whose shot has never gone in; the puck goes at the net from the point or off the glass and nothing else is asked for.”
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 357 minutes
- Expected goals
- 45.8%
- 26th pct
- Shot attempts
- 45.2%
- 18th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 17 for, 11 against. Expected: 12.2 and 14.4.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe report ranks him 36 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 72 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Tracked
NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 24 games
- Top speed
- 22.1 mph
- 70th pct
- Bursts over 20 mph
- 0.46 a game
- Distance
- 2.25 miles a game
- Hardest shot
- 90.9 mph
- 44th pct
fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 21.7
how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes
skated, all strengths
one shot; the league's average best is 90.2
A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.
Usual linemates
2023-24 with TBL · 357 minutes at five-on-five
- Erik Cernak51%
- Nick Perbix17%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2023-24
- The club
- TBL took 50.5% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 45.8% — 4.7 below the club he did it on.
- The role
- 357 minutes at five-on-five — 10th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Cernak | 48.0% | 43.1% | 47.7% |
| Anthony Cirelli | 48.3% | 44.2% | 53.0% |
| Brandon Hagel | 50.2% | 43.1% | 55.7% |
48.0% together, 43.1% for him apart and 47.7% for Cernak apart. He was worse away from Cernak, who was no better away from him — he needed that pairing more than Cernak did.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
37 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 1 of them goals. His median goal came from 59 feet. 11% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 76% from beyond forty.