Armchair Hockey Scout

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2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

21

Garnet Hathaway

Philadelphia Flyers Right Wing

Undrafted, 622 career penalty minutes, and the 90th percentile of chances on twelve minutes a night.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2015-16CGY14033-131000110.012:01
2016-17CGY26145044000224.59:08
2017-18CGY594913+388010685.911:32
2018-19CGY7611819+14560257714.310:32
2019-20WSH669716+6790018011.310:47
2020-21WSH5661218+766000629.712:19
2021-22WSH76141226+195700412411.313:23
2022-23WSH/BOS8413922+5690038814.811:48
2023-24PHI8271017-71320111036.812:29
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—5396574139+46622041463510.211:43

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

All 82 games, 7 goals and 10 assists for 17 points, 1 shorthanded, 132 penalty minutes, 12:29 a night and minus-7, with 1 game-winner. He took 55.6 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 890 minutes, the 90th percentile and the second-best chance share on the club, and his ice went 27-36 against an expectation of 33.92-27.05.

Seven goals of finishing below what the chances were worth and nine more conceded than they called for. A 90th percentile chance share on twelve and a half minutes a night that came out minus-9 in goals.

The Finesse Game

146 attempts at a median of 20 feet with 51 per cent of them from inside twenty — the closest shot chart on the roster — 103 of those on goal, converted at 6.8 per cent against a career 10.24 across 635 shots.

74 career assists in 539 games. Everything he takes comes from within twenty feet because he does not get pucks anywhere else; the hands are heavy and 65 goals in nine seasons is the honest statement of them.

The Physical Game

He is 6-2 and 212 and took 132 penalty minutes.

622 career penalty minutes in 539 games. He forechecks by hitting the first man and then the second, finishes checks late, fights when it is asked for and has spent nine seasons being the most unpleasant forward on whichever fourth line he is on. No career power-play goal in 539 games.

The Intangibles

Undrafted, nine seasons, four organisations, 139 points in 539 games and a career plus-46.

A career plus-46 from an undrafted fourth-line winger across nine seasons is one of the more surprising numbers in this edition. Four career shorthanded goals and one of them last season, on the fourth-best kill in the league.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    82 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • undrafteda strength· arrived without a pick attached

    “Undrafted, nine seasons, four organisations, 139 points in 539 games and a career plus-46.”

  • punishinga strength· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “He forechecks by hitting the first man and then the second, finishes checks late, fights when it is asked for and has spent nine seasons being the most unpleasant forward on whichever fourth line he is on.”

  • forechecks-aggressivelya strength· first man in, and on the puck

    “Everything he takes comes from within twenty feet because he does not get pucks anywhere else; the hands are heavy and 65 goals in nine seasons is the honest statement of them.”

  • penalty-killera strength· trusted a man short

    “Four career shorthanded goals and one of them last season, on the fourth-best kill in the league.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 890 minutes

Expected goals
55.6%
90th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
50.6%
59th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 27 for, 36 against. Expected: 33.9 and 27.1.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
43rd
Numbers
90th

The numbers rank him 47 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 68 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 82 games

Top speed
22.5 mph
69th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.1

Bursts over 20 mph
1.17 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.09 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
88.7 mph
62nd pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.5

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 890 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
PHI took 52.6% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 55.6% — 3.0 above the club he did it on.
The role
Fourth line, 890 minutes at five-on-five — 47th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Ryan Poehling60.7%48.2%49.3%
Travis Sanheim56.9%54.7%51.6%
Cam York59.2%53.3%50.6%

60.7% together, 48.2% for him apart and 49.3% for Poehling apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

146 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 7 of them goals. His median goal came from 7 feet. 51% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 19% from beyond forty.