Armchair Hockey Scout Beta

This is the 2024-25 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

21

Garnet Hathaway

Philadelphia Flyers Right Wing

Undrafted, 622 career penalty minutes, and the 90th percentile of chances on twelve minutes a night.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2015-16CGY14033-131000110.012:01
2016-17CGY26145044000224.59:08
2017-18CGY594913+388010685.911:32
2018-19CGY7611819+14560257714.310:32
2019-20WSH669716+6790018011.310:47
2020-21WSH5661218+766000629.712:19
2021-22WSH76141226+195700412411.313:23
2022-23WSH/BOS8413922+5690038814.811:48
2023-24PHI8271017-71320111036.812:29
2024-25 so far
Career5396574139+46622041463510.211:43

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

All 82 games, 7 goals and 10 assists for 17 points, 1 shorthanded, 132 penalty minutes, 12:29 a night and minus-7, with 1 game-winner. He took 55.6 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 890 minutes, the 90th percentile and the second-best chance share on the club, and his ice went 27-36 against an expectation of 33.92-27.05.

Seven goals of finishing below what the chances were worth and nine more conceded than they called for. A 90th percentile chance share on twelve and a half minutes a night that came out minus-9 in goals.

The Finesse Game

146 attempts at a median of 20 feet with 51 per cent of them from inside twenty — the closest shot chart on the roster — 103 of those on goal, converted at 6.8 per cent against a career 10.24 across 635 shots.

74 career assists in 539 games. Everything he takes comes from within twenty feet because he does not get pucks anywhere else; the hands are heavy and 65 goals in nine seasons is the honest statement of them.

The Physical Game

He is 6-2 and 212 and took 132 penalty minutes.

622 career penalty minutes in 539 games. He forechecks by hitting the first man and then the second, finishes checks late, fights when it is asked for and has spent nine seasons being the most unpleasant forward on whichever fourth line he is on. No career power-play goal in 539 games.

The Intangibles

Undrafted, nine seasons, four organisations, 139 points in 539 games and a career plus-46.

A career plus-46 from an undrafted fourth-line winger across nine seasons is one of the more surprising numbers in this edition. Four career shorthanded goals and one of them last season, on the fourth-best kill in the league.

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 890 minutes

Expected goals
55.6%
90th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
50.6%
59th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 27 for, 36 against. Expected: 33.9 and 27.1.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
61st
Numbers
90th

The numbers rank him 29 points above where the report does. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 437 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 68 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 890 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
PHI took 52.6% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 55.6% — 3.0 above the club he did it on.
The role
Fourth line, 890 minutes at five-on-five — 47th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Ryan Poehling60.7%48.2%49.3%
Travis Sanheim56.9%54.7%51.6%
Cam York59.2%53.3%50.6%

60.7% together, 48.2% for him apart and 49.3% for Poehling apart. Both were worse apart, so whatever the two of them had together was doing real work.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

146 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 7 of them goals. His median goal came from 7 feet. 51% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 19% from beyond forty.