This is the 2023-24 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Frank Vatrano
Anaheim Ducks Right Wing
Twenty-two goals on 231 shots, undrafted, and the worst five-on-five share of any forward in the league.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-16 | BOS | 39 | 8 | 3 | 11 | -3 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 99 | 8.1 | 11:53 |
| 2016-17 | BOS | 44 | 10 | 8 | 18 | -3 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 116 | 8.6 | 13:29 |
| 2017-18 | BOS/FLA | 41 | 7 | 3 | 10 | +3 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 72 | 9.7 | 10:50 |
| 2018-19 | FLA | 81 | 24 | 15 | 39 | -10 | 38 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 208 | 11.5 | 14:40 |
| 2019-20 | FLA | 69 | 16 | 18 | 34 | -8 | 30 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 162 | 9.9 | 15:01 |
| 2020-21 | FLA | 56 | 18 | 8 | 26 | +8 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 158 | 11.4 | 14:31 |
| 2021-22 | FLA/NYR | 71 | 18 | 14 | 32 | +4 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 161 | 11.2 | 13:10 |
| 2022-23 | ANA | 81 | 22 | 19 | 41 | -29 | 66 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 231 | 9.5 | 16:41 |
| 2023-24 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 482 | 123 | 88 | 211 | -38 | 244 | 16 | 2 | 18 | 1207 | 10.2 | 14:09 |
This Season So Far
The 2023-24 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
22 goals and 19 assists in 81 games — 41 points at 16:41 a night, minus-29, with 5 power-play goals on 231 shots, converting at 9.52 per cent, and 66 penalty minutes.
36.4 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,119 minutes — the 1st percentile. Nobody in the league had worse ice. His went 38-63 against an expectation of 37.03-64.59, so again the chances and the goals agree and there is nothing to hand back.
The Finesse Game
231 attempts is a volume nobody else on this roster approaches, at a median of 31 feet with 30 per cent from inside 20 and 27 per cent from beyond 40, off a 94.1 mph shot at the 72nd percentile.
He shoots first and he shoots from anywhere, which is a real NHL skill and also why 19 assists is the ceiling. The passing is the part that keeps him a second-line winger — he is looking at the net from the moment the puck arrives.
The Physical Game
5-11 and 203, built low and thick, and he is harder to knock over than the height suggests.
The skating is the best on this forward group: 23.3 mph top end at the 95th percentile with 1.8 bursts over twenty a game at the 82nd. He is genuinely fast in a straight line and he uses it to get to the net rather than around a defenceman.
The Intangibles
Undrafted out of East Longmeadow, Massachusetts, and 482 NHL games later he has 123 goals. That is a career, and it was not given to him.
He is 29, a useful player having his best years on a club that will not be good until he is past them. He is the most obvious trade chip Anaheim has, and a contender looking for a right-shot volume shooter on a third line will call.
What kind of player
The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.
- measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
- a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
- he lacks itraised, and he does not have it
Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.
- perimeter· shoots from the outside, by choice or because he cannot get in
27.7% of his attempts from 40 feet or beyond, 90th percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 50% keep it
- durable· was available
81 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it
“Undrafted out of East Longmeadow, Massachusetts, and 482 NHL games later he has 123 goals.”
“The passing is the part that keeps him a second-line winger”
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2022-23 · 1,119 minutes
- Expected goals
- 36.4%
- 1st pct
- Shot attempts
- 41.9%
- 5th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 38 for, 63 against. Expected: 37.0 and 64.6.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe report ranks him 48 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 58 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 61 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Usual linemates
2022-23 · 1119 minutes at five-on-five
- Ryan Strome47%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2022-23
- The club
- ANA took 39.7% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 36.4% — 3.3 below the club he did it on.
- The role
- First line, 1,119 minutes at five-on-five — 74th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Strome | 35.8% | 37.1% | 39.9% |
| Cam Fowler | 37.1% | 36.0% | 43.8% |
| Simon Benoit | 37.3% | 36.0% | 37.2% |
35.8% together, 37.1% for him apart and 39.9% for Strome apart. Strome was better away from him while his own share held, which is a mark against him more than for him.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
271 unblocked shots in 2022-23, 21 of them goals. His median goal came from 29 feet. 31% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 27% from beyond forty.