This is the 2023-24 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →
Trevor Zegras
Anaheim Ducks Center
Sixty-five points at twenty-two, and a minus-24 that says more about the club than the player.
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | PP | SH | GW | S | S% | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-21 | ANA | 24 | 3 | 10 | 13 | +6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 53 | 5.7 | 15:24 |
| 2021-22 | ANA | 75 | 23 | 38 | 61 | -21 | 50 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 181 | 12.7 | 17:54 |
| 2022-23 | ANA | 81 | 23 | 42 | 65 | -24 | 88 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 184 | 12.5 | 18:50 |
| 2023-24 so far | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Career | — | 180 | 49 | 90 | 139 | -39 | 150 | 13 | 0 | 8 | 418 | 11.7 | 17:59 |
This Season So Far
The 2023-24 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.
Last Season
23 goals and 42 assists in 81 games — 65 points at 18:50 a night, minus-24, with 4 power-play goals on 184 shots, converting at 12.5 per cent, and 88 penalty minutes.
Two consecutive seasons above sixty points before his twenty-third birthday. 139 points in 180 career games is the whole argument for the rebuild.
43 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,235 minutes, the 11th percentile. His ice went 57-75 against an expectation of 51.83-68.7 — six goals of scoring ahead of the chances, and six more conceded than they predicted.
The Finesse Game
The hands are the reason anybody outside Anaheim knows the name, and the highlight is not the point: 42 assists on a club that scored 209 goals means he was involved in a fifth of everything.
184 attempts at a median of 31 feet, 29 per cent from inside 20 and 23 per cent from beyond 40. He shoots from the middle distance at 87.2 mph, the 24th percentile, so the goals come from placement and from arriving late rather than from beating a goaltender clean.
He holds the puck a beat longer than the play wants and it is both the skill and the flaw. On a better club it is a seam pass; here it is a turnover at the line with nobody back.
The Physical Game
6-0 and 185, and he is moved off pucks by grown men and does not win a wall battle he has to fight twice. 88 penalty minutes is not toughness, it is a young man arguing.
The skating is good without being a weapon — 21.6 mph top end at the 16th percentile, and 3.05 miles a game at the 82nd, which says he works rather than that he flies.
The Intangibles
Ninth overall in 2019, and the first genuinely exciting player this club has drafted since Getzlaf and Perry.
He is 22, on a club that lost 47 games. The risk is not that the talent is imaginary — it is that four more seasons of losing teaches him habits a winning team then has to coach out. Anaheim has to decide whether he is the centre or the winger before the second contract makes the question expensive.
What kind of player
The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.
- measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
- a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
- he lacks itraised, and he does not have it
Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.
- durable· was available
81 of 82 games
Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it
- workhorse· carries the load at even strength
15:15 a game at five-on-five, 93rd percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.78) · 58% keep it
- sheltered· is started in the attacking end
66% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 96th percentile among forwards
Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 47% keep it
“42 assists on a club that scored 209 goals means he was involved in a fifth of everything”
“he is moved off pucks by grown men and does not win a wall battle he has to fight twice”
“he is moved off pucks by grown men and does not win a wall battle he has to fight twice”
The numbers underneath
On the ice
Five-on-five, 2022-23 · 1,235 minutes
- Expected goals
- 43%
- 11th pct
- Shot attempts
- 46.7%
- 27th pct
share of the chances while he was out there
share of the attempts while he was out there
Goals while he was on the ice: 57 for, 75 against. Expected: 51.8 and 68.7.
The eye and the numbers
HindsightThe report ranks him 75 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.
Both bars are percentiles among the 58 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 67 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.
Usual linemates
2022-23 · 1235 minutes at five-on-five
- Ryan Strome47%
- Troy Terry44%
Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.
Why the numbers land there
Five-on-five, 2022-23
- The club
- ANA took 39.7% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 43.0% — 3.3 above the club he did it on.
- The role
- First line, 1,235 minutes at five-on-five — 86th percentile in ice time.
With and without
| Teammate | Together | Him apart | Mate apart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Strome | 40.4% | 45.5% | 35.5% |
| Troy Terry | 49.9% | 37.9% | 40.6% |
| Cam Fowler | 46.8% | 40.5% | 39.6% |
40.4% together, 45.5% for him apart and 35.5% for Strome apart. He was carrying it: the share stayed with him and left Strome behind.
Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.
Where he shoots from
goal on goal missed
256 unblocked shots in 2022-23, 27 of them goals. His median goal came from 15 feet. 29% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 23% from beyond forty.