Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2023-24 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2023-24 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2023-24 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

88

Andrei Vasilevskiy

Tampa Bay Lightning Goaltender

A .9186 across 425 games, and nine seasons without one below .9102.

SeasonTeamGPWLOTLGAGAASOSASV%
2014-15TBL16751342.361415.918
2015-16TBL2411100582.761646.910
2016-17TBL50231771232.6121480.917
2017-18TBL65441731672.6282075.919
2018-19TBL53391041282.4061713.925
2019-20TBL52351431332.5631605.917
2020-21TBL4231101932.2151237.925
2021-22TBL63391851562.4921868.916
2022-23TBL60342241592.6541875.915
2023-24 so far——————————
Career—4252631232810512.523212914.919

This Season So Far

The 2023-24 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

34-22-4 in 60 games, .9152, 2.65, four shutouts on 1,875 shots.

31.3 shots a night behind a club that finished thirteenth in five-on-five shot-attempt share and sixteenth in expected goals against per sixty.

Tampa Bay’s goaltending was worth plus-2.8 goals against the chances it faced, thirteenth in the league. That is a good season and a long way short of what this file usually produces, which is worth saying plainly rather than reading .9152 as a decline.

Nine seasons, 425 games, a career .9186 and a 2.52 goals-against average.

The Finesse Game

6-4 and 223 pounds, and the most complete technical file in this book.

He plays square and deep and moves post to post faster than a man that size has any right to, which is the specific combination that has made him the best goaltender of his era: the net is filled without the depth being given up, and the second shot from the far side is covered.

The rebound control is genuinely excellent. Pucks are steered to the corner rather than into the slot, which is the least glamorous and most valuable thing a goaltender does.

The puck-handling is good and used sparingly.

The nine seasons read .9181, .9102, .9169, .9195, .9253, .9171, .9248, .9165 and .9152. Not one of them is below .9102 and the spread across 12,914 shots is a hundred and fifty-one points. There is no other goaltender in this book with a record that flat.

What that means practically is that a club planning around him is planning around a .918, and the variance it has to carry is about a third of what a normal starter’s file demands.

The Intangibles

Nineteenth overall in 2012, nine seasons, 425 games, all of them here, two Stanley Cups and a Vezina Trophy.

263 wins and 32 shutouts. He has started sixty or more games in three seasons and fifty or more in six.

He is twenty-nine, which for a goaltender is the middle of the useful range, and the workload is the standing question: 12,914 regular-season shots by twenty-nine, plus four consecutive long playoff runs, is a great deal of hockey.

What this file records is the most reliable single asset on any roster in this edition.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • lateral-recoverya strength· post-to-post, and across the slot

    “He plays square and deep and moves post to post faster than a man that size has any right to, which is the specific combination that has made him the best goaltender of his era: the net is filled without the depth being given up, and the second shot from the far side is covered.”

  • rebound-controla strength· where the second chance ends up

    “The rebound control is genuinely excellent.”

  • puck-handlinga strength· starts the breakout himself

    “The puck-handling is good and used sparingly.”