Armchair Hockey Scout

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2024-25 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2024-25 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

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17

Dylan Strome

Washington Capitals Center

Sixty-seven points at 6-4, on half his attempts from inside twenty feet.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2016-17ARI7011-5000060.013:41
2017-18ARI21459+481003013.312:57
2018-19ARI/CHI78203757-82060314513.816:10
2019-20CHI58122638+1162029712.415:56
2020-21CHI409817-16144017112.715:31
2021-22CHI69222648-62850212617.517:26
2022-23WSH81234265-42430215414.916:41
2023-24WSH82274067-132260516916.017:57
2024-25 so far—————————————
Career—436117185302-471322701579814.716:31

This Season So Far

The 2024-25 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

82 games, 27 goals and 40 assists for 67 points, 6 on the power play, 22 penalty minutes, 17:57 a night and minus-13, with 5 game-winners. He took 54.2 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five over 1,170 minutes, the 83rd percentile, and his ice went 48-55 against an expectation of 54.73-46.16.

Seven goals of finishing below what the chances were worth and nine more conceded than they called for. Fifty-four point two per cent of the chances is the highest share of any forward on this club and the ledger went the other way anyway.

The Finesse Game

240 attempts at a median of 20 feet with 50 per cent of them from inside twenty and 15 per cent from beyond forty, 171 of those on goal, converted at 16.0 per cent against a career 14.66 across 798 shots.

185 career assists and 117 goals in 436 games. Half his attempts came from inside twenty feet and he is 6-4; the puck goes to the slot because he carries it there, and 40 assists says the pass out of the corner is at least as good as the shot.

The Physical Game

He is 6-4 and 200 and took 22 penalty minutes.

132 career penalty minutes in 436 games. He is tall and light for the size and does not play a heavy game; the puck is protected with reach rather than with weight and there is very little forechecking damage in it.

The Intangibles

Third overall in 2015 by Arizona, eight seasons, and Washington is his third organisation.

A career minus-47 and 302 points in 436 games. He was the third pick in his draft, has played for three clubs, and has scored 65 and 67 points in the two seasons since he arrived here.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • clutch· scored his goals when the game was still live

    7 of his 27 goals late or in overtime, 98th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure barely repeats (0.06) · 10% keep it

  • durable· was available

    82 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • drives-play· the shot clock turns his way while he is out there

    54.2% of the expected goals at five-on-five with him on, 44.0% for his club in the minutes he sat: +10.2, 99th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats moderately (0.39) · 29% keep it

  • sheltered· is started in the attacking end

    64% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 97th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 47% keep it

  • net-fronta strength· lives in the blue paint; the screens and the tips

    “Half his attempts came from inside twenty feet and he is 6-4; the puck goes to the slot because he carries it there, and 40 assists says the pass out of the corner is at least as good as the shot.”

  • punishinghe lacks it· finishes checks; hurts people legally

    “He is tall and light for the size and does not play a heavy game; the puck is protected with reach rather than with weight and there is very little forechecking damage in it.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2023-24 · 1,170 minutes

Expected goals
54.2%
83rd pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
51.1%
64th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 48 for, 55 against. Expected: 54.7 and 46.2.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
93rd
Numbers
83rd

The two rank him within 10 points of one another. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason.

Both bars are percentiles among the 652 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 80 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2023-24 · 82 games

Top speed
21.9 mph
34th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.1

Bursts over 20 mph
0.28 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.96 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
91.3 mph
77th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 84.5

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2023-24 · 1170 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2023-24

The club
WSH took 47.2% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 54.2% — 7.0 above the club he did it on.
The role
First line, 1,170 minutes at five-on-five — 80th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Alex Ovechkin52.9%55.6%39.4%
John Carlson56.2%52.6%43.2%
Tom Wilson59.4%50.7%40.7%

52.9% together, 55.6% for him apart and 39.4% for Ovechkin apart. Ovechkin was worse away from him while his own share held — the pairing was doing more for Ovechkin than for him.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

240 unblocked shots in 2023-24, 29 of them goals. His median goal came from 13 feet. 51% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 15% from beyond forty.