Armchair Hockey Scout

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2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

17

Dylan Strome

Washington Capitals Center

Eighty-two points and 53 assists, and the 25th percentile of chances.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2016-17ARI7011-5000060.013:41
2017-18ARI21459+481003013.312:57
2018-19ARI/CHI78203757-82060314513.816:10
2019-20CHI58122638+1162029712.415:56
2020-21CHI409817-16144017112.715:31
2021-22CHI69222648-62850212617.517:26
2022-23WSH81234265-42430215414.916:41
2023-24WSH82274067-132260516916.017:57
2024-25WSH82295382+23490314919.517:23
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—518146238384-451663601894715.416:39

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

29 goals and 53 assists in 82 games — 82 points at 17:23 a night, plus-2, with 9 power-play goals and 3 game-winners on 149 shots, converting at 19.5 per cent, and 34 penalty minutes.

It is a career high by fifteen points. 46.7 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 25th percentile. His ice went 53-44 against an expectation of 44.87-51.25 — five goals of scoring missing and twelve fewer conceded than the chances predicted.

The Finesse Game

149 attempts at a median of 21 feet with 48 per cent from inside 20 and 13 per cent from beyond 40, converting at 19.5 per cent.

53 assists is the job and he is very good at it. He holds the puck below the goal line, he waits for the seam rather than forcing it, and his entire value on this club is putting the puck where Alex Ovechkin’s stick is going to be. 384 points in 518 games.

The Physical Game

6-4 and 200 and light for the height. He does not forecheck with force and he does not win many pucks against a heavy defenceman.

34 penalty minutes in 82 games is a low rate. He is not an agitator and he does not retaliate, and the physical half of the game is simply not part of what he offers.

The Intangibles

Third overall in 2015 — taken between Connor McDavid and Jack Eichel’s draft class in a year of famous names — and traded twice before he was 22.

He is 28 and had 82 points. A third-overall pick who was written off in Arizona and Chicago and became a point-a-game centre at 28 is a rarer story than it sounds, and it happened because somebody put him beside the right winger.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • measuredcomputed here from the season's own data
  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • durable· was available

    82 of 82 games

    Season to season, this measure repeats weakly (0.32) · 53% keep it

  • sheltered· is started in the attacking end

    78% of his end-zone starts in the attacking end, 100th percentile among forwards

    Season to season, this measure repeats well (0.66) · 47% keep it

  • playmakera strength· passes up the shot a scorer takes

    “**53 assists is the job and he is very good at it.** He holds the puck below the goal line, he waits for the seam rather than forcing it, and **his entire value on this club is putting the puck where Alex Ovechkin's stick is going to be.**”

  • forechecks-aggressivelyhe lacks it· first man in, and on the puck

    “He does not forecheck with force and he does not win many pucks against a heavy defenceman.”

  • wins-the-wallhe lacks it· the corners and below the goal line

    “He does not forecheck with force and he does not win many pucks against a heavy defenceman.”

  • agitatorhe lacks it· gets under the skin; draws the retaliation

    “He is not an agitator and he does not retaliate, and the physical half of the game is simply not part of what he offers.”

  • retaliateshe lacks it· answers the cross-check, and takes the second penalty

    “He is not an agitator and he does not retaliate, and the physical half of the game is simply not part of what he offers.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 1,065 minutes

Expected goals
46.7%
25th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
48.7%
40th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 53 for, 44 against. Expected: 44.9 and 51.3.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
66th
Numbers
25th

The report ranks him 41 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 75 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 82 games

Top speed
21.6 mph
24th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
0.44 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
2.84 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
85.6 mph
49th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 1065 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
WSH took 50.8% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 46.7% — 4.1 below the club he did it on.
The role
Second line, 1,065 minutes at five-on-five — 70th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Alex Ovechkin45.2%49.0%44.7%
Aliaksei Protas48.8%45.3%56.3%
Jakob Chychrun44.0%48.3%50.9%

45.2% together, 49.0% for him apart and 44.7% for Ovechkin apart. He was better away from Ovechkin, who was no worse away from him — the pairing cost him more than it cost Ovechkin.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

208 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 29 of them goals. His median goal came from 15 feet. 48% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 13% from beyond forty.