Armchair Hockey Scout

Ask the book

2025-26 edition Ask a direct question about this edition of the book — who, how many, how common, which group more — and it is answered with a table computed on this page from the edition’s index: the season line, height and age, the on-ice percentiles, the grades and the traits read out of every report. Ask for a view on named players — what a comparison comes down to, what makes a man — and you get the book’s reading of their own pages, and only those. The model turns your question into a query and phrases the result, or reads the pages it is handed; it never originates a figure, and an answer carrying a figure that is on neither the table nor the pages is withheld. It does not forecast, and it says so when a question is outside what the book holds.

Tables are computed on this page from the 2025-26 edition’s index; readings rest on the players’ own pages; the model never counts. Twenty questions an hour.

This is the 2025-26 edition — an archived read. Read the 2026-27 report →

22

Hendrix Lapierre

Washington Capitals Center

No goals in 27 games, five years after a first-round pick and three concussions.

SeasonTeamGPGAPTS+/-PIMPPSHGWSS%TOI
2021-22WSH6101+22000714.39:35
2023-24WSH5181422-140015115.711:26
2024-25WSH27088-34000180.09:48
2025-26 so far—————————————
Career—8492231-2100017611.810:47

This Season So Far

The 2025-26 season has not started. The empty row above is his, and both it and this paragraph fill in on their own from the morning after he first plays: what he has done, what it is worth against his own last season, and the run he is on when the two disagree.

Last Season

No goals and 8 assists in 27 games — 8 points at 9:48 a night, minus-3, on 18 shots, and 4 penalty minutes.

43.1 per cent of the expected goals at five-on-five, the 17th percentile, across 251 minutes. His ice went 7-11 against an expectation of 8.68-11.47 on a very small sample.

The Finesse Game

18 attempts in 27 games at a median of 18 feet with 54 per cent from inside 20, and no goals.

8 assists in 27 games is the encouraging half — he sees the ice well, he holds the puck a beat and finds the seam, and 22 assists against 9 goals in 84 career games says the distribution is the skill. What is missing is any ability to finish and any way to get himself the puck at this level.

The Physical Game

6-0 and 195 and he does not play a physical game. He does not forecheck with force and he does not win pucks on the wall.

4 penalty minutes in 27 games. He is uninvolved in that half of the game entirely, which at ten minutes a night on the fourth line is the whole problem.

The Intangibles

Twenty-second overall in 2020 and 84 NHL games across three seasons.

He is 23. He suffered three concussions and a serious neck injury in his draft year and fell out of a top-ten conversation because of it. Five years on he has 31 points and no clear job, and the body is no longer the explanation.

What kind of player

The searchable half of the report. The first group is computed from the season's own data; the rest are read out of the prose above, and each one carries the sentence that produced it. A subject the report never raised is simply absent.

  • a strengthread out of the prose, and claimed
  • he lacks itraised, and he does not have it

Each computed tag also says how well its measure holds up from one season to the next, because a tag describes a season that has finished and a reader will assume it predicts the one coming. Some do and some do not, and the gap is wide: five-on-five workload repeats well, scoring late does not repeat at all.

  • playmakera strength· passes up the shot a scorer takes

    “**8 assists in 27 games is the encouraging half** — he sees the ice well, he holds the puck a beat and finds the seam, and 22 assists against 9 goals in 84 career games says the distribution is the skill.”

  • forechecks-aggressivelyhe lacks it· first man in, and on the puck

    “He does not forecheck with force and he does not win pucks on the wall.”

  • wins-the-wallhe lacks it· the corners and below the goal line

    “He does not forecheck with force and he does not win pucks on the wall.”

The numbers underneath

On the ice

Five-on-five, 2024-25 · 251 minutes

Expected goals
43.1%
10th pct

share of the chances while he was out there

Shot attempts
50.6%
59th pct

share of the attempts while he was out there

Goals while he was on the ice: 7 for, 11 against. Expected: 8.7 and 11.5.

The eye and the numbers

Hindsight
Report
30th
Numbers
10th

The report ranks him 20 points above where the numbers do. It was written for a back edition, with the seasons that followed already known. Neither the agreement nor the gap says anything about the eye, and this report is excluded from the club-level comparison for the same reason. Why the numbers land there sets out the club he did it on, the minutes he played and the men he played them with.

Both bars are percentiles among the 637 skaters in this edition with a report and enough ice time. The report bar ranks the mean of the grades above — 69 on their own scale — against every other report's mean. The numbers bar ranks his share of expected goals. A gap is a disagreement about where he belongs, not two scales talking past each other.

Tracked

NHL Edge, 2024-25 · 27 games

Top speed
22.8 mph
78th pct

fastest he was clocked all season; the league's average best is 22.2

Bursts over 20 mph
2.22 a game

how often he reaches that speed, not how fast he goes

Distance
1.66 miles a game

skated, all strengths

Hardest shot
81.2 mph
25th pct

one shot; the league's average best is 83.9

A top speed is a season's best, and a man who takes more shifts gets more tries at one; the percentile is the feed's own, against every skater, and says less between a top-pair defenceman and a fourth-line wing than it does between two men in the same job. The counts are shown per game for the same reason.

Usual linemates

2024-25 · 251 minutes at five-on-five

Share of his five-on-five ice time spent alongside each player, measured from shift charts. Special teams are excluded: a power-play unit is not a line.

Why the numbers land there

Five-on-five, 2024-25

The club
WSH took 50.8% of the expected goals as a club. His own share is 43.1% — 7.7 below the club he did it on.
The role
Fourth line, 251 minutes at five-on-five — 4th percentile in ice time.

With and without

TeammateTogetherHim apartMate apart
Jakub Vrana40.2%45.8%44.2%
Lars Eller43.4%42.9%49.7%
Martin Fehérváry36.8%47.3%53.0%

40.2% together, 45.8% for him apart and 44.2% for Vrana apart. Both were better apart than together — the pairing was doing neither of them any favours.

Expected-goal share while both were on the ice, and for each man in the minutes he played without the other. Apart is the pair subtracted from his own totals. It does not settle who was carrying whom — apart from each other, both were still playing with somebody — but it does say whether the share travelled when the pairing broke up.

Where he shoots from

goal on goal missed

28 unblocked shots in 2024-25, 0 of them goals. 54% of his shots came from inside twenty feet, 21% from beyond forty.